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Dynamics of Stock Prices and Exchange Rates Relationship: Evidence From Five Sub-Saharan African Financial Markets

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  • Umar Bida Ndako

Abstract

This article examines the dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates for five Sub-Saharan African financial markets: Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Nigeria and South Africa. It uses weekly data, covering the floating exchange rate regime from January 14, 2000, to December 31, 2009, and applies both the Vector Autoregression and the Dynamic Conditional Correlation models. Results from the Vector Autoregression model suggest no evidence of cointegration between stock prices and real exchange rates for all the five countries in the sample. Results from the dynamic conditional correlation show that the correlation coefficients are not constant for the period under study, and the estimates largely show a negative time-varying correlation for all the countries except Ghana that indicates a positive correlation.

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  • Umar Bida Ndako, 2013. "Dynamics of Stock Prices and Exchange Rates Relationship: Evidence From Five Sub-Saharan African Financial Markets," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 47-57, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:wjabxx:v:14:y:2013:i:1:p:47-57
    DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2013.765322
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Engle, Robert F & Sheppard, Kevin K, 2001. "Theoretical and Empirical Properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt5s2218dp, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Sama Haddad, 2023. "Global Financial Market Integration: A Literature Survey," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-27, November.
    3. Andrew Phiri, 2020. "Structural changes in exchange rate-stock returns dynamics in South Africa: examining the role of crisis and new trading platform," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 171-193, February.
    4. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B., 2018. "Modelling stock price–exchange rate nexus in OECD countries: A new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 105-123.
    5. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2020. "The foreign exchange and stock market nexus: New international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 240-266.
    6. Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2014. "The conditional pricing of currency and inflation risks in Africa's equity markets," MPRA Paper 56100, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Hamisu Sadi ALI & Umar MUKHTAR & Ganthi Selvi MANIAM, 2015. "Dynamic Links between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices in Malaysia: An Asymmetric Cointegration analysis," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 411-417, September.
    8. Jorge López Villa & Miriam Sosa Castro, 2021. "Contagio en la volatilidad entre los mercados de capital y de divisas en México y Brasil (2000-2020)," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-28, Septiembr.
    9. Owusu Junior, Peterson & Tweneboah, George, 2020. "Are there asymmetric linkages between African stocks and exchange rates?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    10. Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2014. "Conditional pricing of currency risk in Africa's equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 133-155.
    11. Hassan, Aminu & Ibrahim, Masud Usman & Bala, Ahmed Jinjiri, 2024. "Vulnerability of a developing stock market to openness: One-way return and volatility transmissions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Jimoh Olajide Raji & Yusnidah Ibrahim & Siti-Aznor Ahmad, 2017. "Stock Price Index and Exchange Rate Nexus in African Markets," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 112-134, January.

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