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War-related excess mortality in The Netherlands, 1944–45: New estimates of famine- and non-famine-related deaths from national death records

Author

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  • Peter Ekamper
  • Govert Bijwaard
  • Frans van Poppel
  • L. H. Lumey

Abstract

Despite there being several estimates for famine-related deaths in the west of The Netherlands during the last stage of World War II, no such information exists for war-related excess mortality among the civilian population from other areas of the country. Previously unavailable data files from Statistics Netherlands allow researchers to estimate the number of war-related excess deaths during the last stage of the war in the whole country. This study uses a seasonal-adjusted mortality model combined with a difference-in-difference approach to estimate the number of excess deaths in the period between January 1944 and July 1945 at a total of close to 91,000 (75%) excess deaths. Almost half of all war-related excess mortality during the last year of the war occurred outside the west.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Ekamper & Govert Bijwaard & Frans van Poppel & L. H. Lumey, 2017. "War-related excess mortality in The Netherlands, 1944–45: New estimates of famine- and non-famine-related deaths from national death records," Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 113-128, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:vhimxx:v:50:y:2017:i:2:p:113-128
    DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2017.1285260
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    1. von Grebmer, Klaus & Bernstein, Jill & Prasai, Nilam & Yin, Sandra & Yohannes, Yisehac & Towey, Olive & Sonntag, Andrea & Neubauer, Larissa & de Waal, Alex, 2015. "2015 Global hunger index: Armed conflict and the challenge of hunger," IFPRI books, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), number 978-0-89629-964-1.
    2. von Grebmer, Klaus & Bernstein, Jill & Prasai, Nilam & Yin, Sandra & Yohannes, Yisehac & Towey, Olive & Sonntag, Andrea & Neubauer, Larissa & de Waal, Alex, 2015. "Synopsis: 2015 Global hunger index: Armed conflict and the challenge of hunger," Issue briefs 978-0-89629-876-7, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    Cited by:

    1. Conti, Gabriella & Poupakis, Stavros & Ekamper, Peter & Bijwaard, Govert E. & Lumey, L.H., 2024. "Severe prenatal shocks and adolescent health: Evidence from the Dutch Hunger Winter," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    2. Ó Gráda, Cormac & Lee, Chihua & Lumey, L. H., 2023. "How Much Schizophrenia Do Famines Cause?," MPRA Paper 119448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Daniel Ramirez & Steven A. Haas, 2022. "Windows of Vulnerability: Consequences of Exposure Timing during the Dutch Hunger Winter," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 48(4), pages 959-989, December.

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