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Baby booms, busts, and population ageing in the developed world

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  • David S. Reher

Abstract

The key challenge facing contemporary society is a process of population ageing rooted mainly in past fertility cycles. The goals of the study reported in this paper were (i) to analyse jointly the post-1930s baby boom and the baby bust that followed, (ii) to consider the specific ways this particular combination influenced the process of ageing in different societies, and (iii) to evaluate some possible implications for policy of different historical experiences. Demographic time series for 27 nations in the developed world were used. The main results confirm the importance of the boom and bust fertility cycle of the second half of the twentieth century for population ageing. Some countries will experience ageing processes driven mainly by the growth of elderly populations while others will age largely as a result of declines in working-age populations. These differences underscore the need to tailor policy priorities for specific patterns of ageing.

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  • David S. Reher, 2015. "Baby booms, busts, and population ageing in the developed world," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 69(sup1), pages 57-68, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rpstxx:v:69:y:2015:i:sup1:p:s57-s68
    DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2014.963421
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    Cited by:

    1. Ilya Kashnitsky & Joop De Beer & Leo Van Wissen, 2020. "Economic Convergence In Ageing Europe," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 111(1), pages 28-44, February.
    2. David Reher & Miguel Requena, 2019. "Childlessness in Twentieth-Century Spain: A Cohort Analysis for Women Born 1920–1969," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(1), pages 133-160, February.
    3. Ermisch, John, 2023. "On the Similarity of Fertility across European National Borders," SocArXiv nej84, Center for Open Science.
    4. Kashnitsky, Ilya & de Beer, Joop & van Wissen, Leo, 2017. "Decomposition of regional convergence in population aging across Europe," OSF Preprints ykqbv, Center for Open Science.
    5. David Reher & Miguel Requena & María Sanchez-Dominguez & Alberto Sanz-Gimeno & Nieves Pombo, 2021. "A survey of baby booms and busts in 20th century Spain," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 45(41), pages 1255-1268.
    6. Søren Kjærgaard & Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2017. "Potential support ratios: Cohort versus period perspectives," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 71(2), pages 171-186, May.
    7. Mathieu Ahouah & Monique Rothan-Tondeur, 2019. "End-Users and Caregivers’ Involvement in Health Interventional Research Carried Out in Geriatric Facilities: A Systematic Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-14, August.
    8. Cecilia Reynaud & Maria Herica La Valle, 2021. "Population ageing and retirement in Italy: an analysis by gender and geographic areas," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 75(3), pages 65-76, July-Sept.
    9. Reher, David S. & Requena, Miguel & de Santis, Gustavo & Esteve, Albert & Bacci, Massimo Livi & Padyab, Mojgan & Sandström, Glenn, 2020. "The COVID-19 pandemic in an aging world," SocArXiv bfvxt, Center for Open Science.

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