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Urbanization and Economic Growth in Indonesia: Good News, Bad News and (Possible) Local Government Mitigation

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  • Blane D. Lewis

Abstract

Lewis B. D. Urbanization and economic growth in Indonesia: good news, bad news and (possible) local government mitigation, Regional Studies . Time-series analysis for Indonesia over the period 1960-2009 suggests that the level of urbanization is positively associated with economic growth but that the rate of change of urbanization is negatively correlated with growth of economic output. A sub-national dynamic panel investigation provides additional evidence of the positive and negative level and rate effects, respectively. The panel analysis also implies that the harmful impact of urban population growth is linked to insufficient local public infrastructure spending. Local governments that invest more heavily in infrastructure are better able to cope with the apparent detrimental effects of rapid urbanization on economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Blane D. Lewis, 2014. "Urbanization and Economic Growth in Indonesia: Good News, Bad News and (Possible) Local Government Mitigation," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 192-207, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:48:y:2014:i:1:p:192-207
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2012.748980
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richard Baldwin & Rikard Forslid & Philippe Martin & Gianmarco Ottaviano & Frederic Robert-Nicoud, 2005. "Economic Geography and Public Policy," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 7524.
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    3. Juselius, Katarina, 2006. "The Cointegrated VAR Model: Methodology and Applications," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199285679.
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    1. Bakari, Sayef & El Weriemmi, Malek, 2022. "Which is the best for Tunisian Economic Growth: Urbanization or Ruralization?," MPRA Paper 112208, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Roberto Ganau & Andrés Rodríguez-Pose, 2022. "Does urban concentration matter for changes in country economic performance?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 59(6), pages 1275-1299, May.
    3. World Bank, 2014. "Indonesia - Avoiding the Trap : Development Policy Review 2014," World Bank Publications - Reports 19326, The World Bank Group.
    4. World Bank, 2014. "Indonesia : Avoiding the Trap," World Bank Publications - Reports 18944, The World Bank Group.
    5. Castells-Quintana, David, 2017. "Malthus living in a slum: Urban concentration, infrastructure and economic growth," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 158-173.
    6. Anand Sahasranaman & Nishanth Kumar & Luis M. A. Bettencourt, 2024. "Urbanization, economic development, and income distribution dynamics in India," Papers 2410.04737, arXiv.org.
    7. Shunbin Zhong & Mengding Li & Yihui Liu & Yun Bai, 2023. "Do Internet Development and Urbanization Foster Regional Economic Growth: Evidence from China’s Yangtze River Economic Belt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-14, June.
    8. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2017. "Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 319-336.
    9. Pindado, Emilio & Sánchez, Mercedes & García Martínez, Marian, 2023. "Entrepreneurial innovativeness: When too little or too much agglomeration hurts," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(1).
    10. Sarah Jacobs & Oladipo Olalekan David & Abigail Stiglingh-Van Wyk, 2023. "The Impact of Urbanization on Economic Growth in Gauteng Province, South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 1-11, March.
    11. Ying Liu & Lin Li & Fei Teng Zheng, 2019. "Regional Synergy and Economic Growth: Evidence from Total Effect and Regional Effect in China," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 42(5-6), pages 431-458, September.
    12. Tran, Quoc Duy & Huynh, Cong Minh, 2022. "ICT and financial development: Empirical evidence from ASEAN countries," MPRA Paper 111462, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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