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Regional Decline of Manufacturing Employment in Japan during an Era of Prolonged Stagnation

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  • Shawn Banasick
  • Robert Hanham

Abstract

Banasick S. and Hanham R. Regional decline of manufacturing employment in Japan during an era of prolonged stagnation, Regional Studies. This paper uses a multivariate shift-share model to analyse the decline in manufacturing employment between 1990 and 2001 in Japan's industrial core and periphery, and in the country's prefectures. The model's regional effect indicates that regional context plays a variable role in shaping regional employment trends. Most prefectures in the periphery have dynamic regional contexts that tend to counter the negative effect of their industrial mix throughout the whole period. Between 1990 and the Asian financial crisis of 1997, most prefectures in the core had depressed regional contexts that failed to counter their negative industrial mix effect. After 1997, industrial restructuring in the core created more dynamic regional contexts to moderate the decline in employment. [image omitted] Banasick S. et Hanham R. Le declin regional de l'emploi industriel au Japon pendant une epoque de stagnation prolongee, Regional Studies. Cet article emploie un modele de distribution-repartition a plusieurs variables afin d'analyser le declin de l'emploi industriel dans le centre et a la peripherie industriels japonais entre 1990 et 2001, et dans les prefectures de ce pays. L'effet regional du modele indique que le contexte regional joue un role variable dans la determination des tendances regionales a l'emploi. La plupart des prefectures situees a la peripherie ont des contextes regionaux dynamiques qui ont tendance a enrayer l'effet negatif de leur structure industrielle pendant toute la periode. Entre 1990 et le choc financier asiatique de 1997, la plupart des prefectures situees dans le centre ont des contextes regionaux defavorises qui ne reussissent pas a enrayer l'effet negatif de leur structure industrielle. Depuis 1997, la restructuration industrielle dans le centre cree davantage de contextes regionaux dynamiques afin de moderer le declin de l'emploi. Desindustrialisation Emploi industriel Regions Japon Banasick S. und Hanham R. Der regionale Ruckgang des Beschaftigungsniveaus in der produzierenden Industrie Japans wahrend eines Zeitraums anhaltender Stagnation, Regional Studies. In diesem Beitrag wird anhand eines multivariaten Shift-Share-Modells der Ruckgang des Beschaftigungsniveaus in der produzierenden Industrie Japans in den Jahren von 1990 bis 2001 in den Industriezentren und der Peripherie sowie in den Prafekturen des Landes analysiert. Aus den regionalen Auswirkungen des Modells geht hervor, dass der regionale Kontext bei der Festlegung der regionalen Beschaftigungstrends eine variable Rolle spielt. Die meisten Prafekturen in der Peripherie weisen einen dynamischen Regionalkontext auf, der den negativen Auswirkungen ihrer Industrieverteilung wahrend des gesamten Zeitraums tendenziell entgegenwirkt. Zwischen 1990 und der asiatischen Finanzkrise von 1997 wiesen die meisten Prafekturen im Zentrum einen rucklaufigen Regionalkontext auf, der den negativen Auswirkungen ihrer Industrieverteilung nicht entgegenzuwirken vermochte. Nach 1997 schuf die industrielle Umstrukturierung im Zentrum einen dynamischeren Regionalkontext, durch den der Ruckgang des Beschaftigungsniveaus gemildert werden konnte. Deindustrialisierung Beschaftigungsniveau in der produzierenden Industrie Regionen Japan Banasick S. y Hanham R. Disminucion del empleo regional en el sector manufacturero de Japon durante una era de estancamiento prolongado, Regional Studies. En este ensayo utilizamos un modelo multivariante shift-share para analizar la disminucion del empleo en el sector manufacturero entre 1990 y 2001 en el centro y periferia industrial de Japon y en las prefecturas del pais. El efecto regional del modelo indica que el contexto regional desempena un rol variable a la hora de perfilar las tendencias de empleo regional. La mayoria de prefecturas en la periferia muestran contextos dinamicos regionales que tienden a contrarrestrar el efecto negativo de su mezcla industrial en todo el periodo. Entre 1990 y la crisis financiera en Asia de 1997, la mayoria de prefecturas en el centro presentaban una mala situacion economica en las regiones que no podia contrarrestrar su efecto negativo en la mezcla industrial. Despues de 1997, la reestructuracion industrial en el centro creo contextos regionales mas dinamicos para moderar la disminucion del empleo. Desindustrializacion Empleo en el sector manufacturero Regiones Japon

Suggested Citation

  • Shawn Banasick & Robert Hanham, 2008. "Regional Decline of Manufacturing Employment in Japan during an Era of Prolonged Stagnation," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 489-503.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:42:y:2008:i:4:p:489-503
    DOI: 10.1080/00343400701291526
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Whittaker,D. H., 1999. "Small Firms in the Japanese Economy," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521664714, October.
    2. Fujimoto, Takahiro, 1999. "The Evolution of Manufacturing Systems at Toyota," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195123203.
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    1. Gagliardi, Luisa & Moretti, Enrico & Serafinelli, Michel, 2023. "The World's Rust Belts: The Heterogeneous Effects of Deindustrialization on 1,993 Cities in Six Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 16648, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Jurgen Essletzbichler & Kazuo Kadokawa, 2010. "The Evolution of Regional Labour Productivities in Japanese Manufacturing, 1968-2004," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(9), pages 1189-1205.
    3. Jaime Sobrino, 2013. "Urban demographic growth: the case of megacities," Chapters, in: Peter Karl Kresl & Jaime Sobrino (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Urban Economies, chapter 14, pages 343-371, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Paul S Jones, 2012. "Job Creation and Regional Change under New Labour: A Shift-Share Analysis," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 44(6), pages 1348-1362, June.
    5. Luisa Gagliardi,, "undated". "The World’s Rust Belts: The Heterogeneous Effects of Deindustrialization on 1,993 Cities in Six Countries," RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 2317, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM).
    6. Chad R. Wilkerson & Megan D. Williams, 2012. "The transformation of manufacturing across Federal Reserve Districts: success for the Great Plains?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 97(Q II).

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