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What pieces of limit order book information matter in explaining order choice by patient and impatient traders?

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  • Roberto Pascual
  • David Veredas

Abstract

In this paper, we extend the existing empirical evidence on the relationship between the state of the limit order book (LOB) and order choice. Our contribution is twofold: first, we propose a sequential ordered probit (SOP) model which allows studying patient and impatient traders' choices separately; second, we consider two pieces of LOB information, the best quotes and the book beyond the best quotes. We find that both pieces of LOB information explain the degree of patience of an incoming trader and, afterwards, its order choice. Nonetheless, the best quotes concentrate most of the explanatory power of the LOB. The shape of the book beyond the best quotes is crucial in explaining the aggressiveness of patient (limit order) traders, while impatient (market order) traders base their decisions primarily on the best quotes. Patient traders' choices depend more on the state of the LOB on the same side of the market, while impatient traders mostly look at the state of the LOB on the opposite side. The aggressiveness of both types of traders augments with the inside spread. However, patient (impatient) traders submit more (less) aggressive limit (market) orders when the depth of the own (opposite) best quote and the length of the own (opposite) side of the book increase. We also find that higher depth away from the best ask (bid) quote may signal that this quote is 'too low (high)', causing incoming impatient buyers (sellers) to be more aggressive and incoming patient sellers (buyers) to be more conservative.

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  • Roberto Pascual & David Veredas, 2009. "What pieces of limit order book information matter in explaining order choice by patient and impatient traders?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 527-545.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:9:y:2009:i:5:p:527-545
    DOI: 10.1080/14697680802616704
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    8. Cebiroğlu, Gökhan & Horst, Ulrich, 2011. "Optimal display of Iceberg orders," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-057, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    9. Wei Cui & Anthony Brabazon & Michael O'Neill, 2011. "Dynamic trade execution: a grammatical evolution approach," International Journal of Financial Markets and Derivatives, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1/2), pages 4-31.
    10. Axel Groß‐KlußMann & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2013. "Predicting Bid–Ask Spreads Using Long‐Memory Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(8), pages 724-742, December.
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    12. Z. Sun & P. A. Hamill & Y. Li & Y. C. Yang & S. A. Vigne, 2019. "Did long-memory of liquidity signal the European sovereign debt crisis?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 355-377, November.
    13. Alex Langnau & Yanko Punchev, 2011. "Stochastic Price Dynamics Implied By the Limit Order Book," Papers 1105.4789, arXiv.org.
    14. Cebiroğlu, Gökhan & Horst, Ulrich, 2015. "Optimal order display in limit order markets with liquidity competition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 81-100.
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    16. Arzandeh, Mehdi & Frank, Julieta, 2017. "The Information Content of the Limit Order Book," 7th Annual Canadian Agri-Food Policy Conference, January 11-13, 2017, Ottawa, ON 253251, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society.
    17. Alexandru Mandes, 2014. "Order Placement in a Continuous Double Auction Agent Based Model," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201443, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    18. Arzandeh, Mehdi & Frank, Julieta, 2017. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look Beyond the Best Bid-Ask Spread?," Annual Meeting, 2017, June 18-21, Montreal, Canada 259344, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society.
    19. Ming-Chang Wang & Yu-Jia Ding & Pei-Han Hsin, 2018. "Order Aggressiveness and the Heating and Cooling-off Effects of Price Limits: Evidence from Taiwan Stock Exchange," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 14(2), pages 191-216, August.
    20. Wing Lon Ng, 2010. "Dynamic Order Submission And Herding Behavior In Electronic Trading," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 33(1), pages 27-43, March.
    21. Tseng, Yi-Heng & Chen, Shu-Heng, 2015. "Limit order book transparency and order aggressiveness at the closing call: Lessons from the TWSE 2012 new information disclosure mechanism," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(PA), pages 241-272.
    22. Piotr Fryzlewicz & Thorsten Rheinlander & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2014. "Relative Liquidity and Future Volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

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