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The shifting dependence dynamics between the G7 stock markets

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  • Ahmed BenSaïda
  • Sabri Boubaker
  • Duc Khuong Nguyen

Abstract

The growing interdependence between financial markets has attracted special attention from academic researchers and finance practitioners for the purpose of optimal portfolio design and contagion analysis. This article develops a tractable regime-switching version of the copula functions to model the intermarkets linkages during turmoil and normal periods, while taking into account structural changes. More precisely, Markov regime-switching C-vine and D-vine decompositions of the Student’s t copula are proposed and applied to returns on diversified portfolios of stocks, represented by the G7 stock market indices. The empirical results show evidence of regime shifts in the dependence structure with high contagion risk during crisis periods. Moreover, both the C- and D-vines highly outperform the multivariate Student’s t copula, which suggests that the shock transmission path is as important as the dependence itself, and is better detected with a vine copula decomposition.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed BenSaïda & Sabri Boubaker & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2018. "The shifting dependence dynamics between the G7 stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 801-812, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:18:y:2018:i:5:p:801-812
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2017.1419628
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    Cited by:

    1. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock returns: Evidence from the Markov switching dependence approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2023. "The low-magnitude and high-magnitude asymmetries in tail dependence structures in international equity markets and the role of bilateral exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Vuong, Giang Thi Huong & Nguyen, Manh Huu & Huynh, Anh Ngoc Quang, 2022. "Volatility spillovers from the Chinese stock market to the U.S. stock market: The role of the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    4. Ali, Shoaib & Naveed, Muhammad & Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Mirza, Nawazish, 2024. "Mineral Metamorphosis: Tracing the static and dynamic nexus between minerals and global south markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    5. BenSaïda, Ahmed & Litimi, Houda & Abdallah, Oussama, 2018. "Volatility spillover shifts in global financial markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 343-353.
    6. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Le, Van & Moussa, Faten, 2024. "Hedging precious metals with impact investing," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 651-664.
    7. BenMim, Imen & BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2019. "Financial contagion across major stock markets: A study during crisis episodes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 187-201.
    8. Ahmed BenSaïda & Houda Litimi, 2021. "Financial contagion across G10 stock markets: A study during major crises," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4798-4821, July.
    9. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Ahmad, Nasir & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Dependence dynamics of stock markets during COVID-19," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PB).
    10. Patel, Ritesh & Goodell, John W. & Oriani, Marco Ercole & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "A bibliometric review of financial market integration literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Azimova, Tarana, 2022. "Modelling volatility transmission in regional Asian stock markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    12. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Assaf, Rima & Rai, Varun Kumar, 2023. "Did the Indian stock market sail the Russia-Ukraine storm safely?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    13. Çelik, İsmail & Sak, Ahmet Furkan & Höl, Arife Özdemir & Vergili, Gizem, 2022. "The dynamic connectedness and hedging opportunities of implied and realized volatility: Evidence from clean energy ETFs," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    14. Chemkha, Rahma & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Ghorbel, Ahmed, 2021. "Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange markets: Implication for risk management," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    15. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Assaf, Rima & Chaibi, Anis & Makram, Beljid, 2024. "The nexus between mineral, renewable commodities, and regional stock sectors during health and military crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    16. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Mohammad Rahim & Karim, Sitara & Assaf, Rima, 2023. "Tail risk transmission in technology-driven markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    17. Ali, Shoaib & Yousfi, Mohamed & Chughtai, Sumayya & Min Du, Anna, 2024. "Return and volatility connectedness between agricultural tokens and us equity sectors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
    18. Ali, Shoaib & Moussa, Faten & Youssef, Manel, 2023. "Connectedness between cryptocurrencies using high-frequency data: A novel insight from the Silicon Valley Banks collapse," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    19. Chortane, Sana Gaied & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Does the Russia-Ukraine war lead to currency asymmetries? A US dollar tale," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    20. Pineda, Julián & Cortés, Lina M. & Perote, Javier, 2022. "Financial contagion drivers during recent global crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    21. Ye, Wuyi & Li, Mingge & Wu, Yuehua, 2022. "A novel estimation of time-varying quantile correlation for financial contagion detection," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    22. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hajek, Petr & Fisher, Ben & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "Nonlinearity in forecasting energy commodity prices: Evidence from a focused time-delayed neural network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    23. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Chen, Yajiao & Liu, Fang, 2022. "The contagion effect of jump risk across Asian stock markets during the Covid-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

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