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GDP growth determinants and foreign direct investment causality: the case of Iran

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  • Parviz Asheghian

Abstract

Given the economic conditions in Iran and the need to accelerate its economic growth, there is a rising interest in examining the variables that fuel its GDP growth. The scant literature on economic growth in Iran is composed of only a few scholarly studies that investigate this nation's GDP growth. However, none of these studies has examined the causality between GDP growth and its determining elements. The purpose of this study is: (1) to determine the economic variables that contribute to Iran's GDP per capita growth over time, and (2) to examine the causality between foreign direct investment and the relevant variables that are included in the model. To achieve these goals the study uses a model that is based on the postulates of de Mello. The results indicate that: (1) the major determinants of GDP per capita growth in Iran are value added growth and domestic investment growth; (2) there is no causal relationship between foreign direct investment growth and GDP per capita growth in Iran in either direction; and (3) there is no causal relationship between foreign direct investment growth and value added growth in Iran in either direction.

Suggested Citation

  • Parviz Asheghian, 2016. "GDP growth determinants and foreign direct investment causality: the case of Iran," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 897-913, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:25:y:2016:i:6:p:897-913
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2016.1145249
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giovanni Dosi & Keith Pavitt & Luc Soete, 1990. "The Economics of Technical Change and International Trade," LEM Book Series, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy, number dosietal-1990, November.
    2. Katharine Wakelin, 1997. "trade and innovation," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1342.
    3. L.R. de Mello Jr., 1996. "Foreign Direct Investment, International Knowledge Transfers, and Endogenous Growth: Time Series Evidence," Studies in Economics 9610, School of Economics, University of Kent.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Shahbaz & Miroslav Mateev & Salah Abosedra & Muhammad Ali Nasir & Zhilun Jiao, 2021. "Determinants of FDI in France: Role of transport infrastructure, education, financial development and energy consumption," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1351-1374, January.
    2. Niaz Morshed & Mohammad Razib Hossain, 2022. "Causality analysis of the determinants of FDI in Bangladesh: fresh evidence from VAR, VECM and Granger causality approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-28, July.
    3. Ayamba Emmanuel Caesar & Chen HaiBo & Thomas Bilaliib Udimal & Andrew Osei-Agyemang, 2018. "Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 315-322.
    4. Magazzino, Cosimo & Mele, Marco, 2022. "Can a change in FDI accelerate GDP growth? Time-series and ANNs evidence on Malta," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    5. Ronald Ebenezer Essel, 2023. "Foreign direct investment, technological spillover, and total factor productivity growth in Ghana," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-34, August.
    6. Gibogwe, Vincent & Nigo, Ayine R.S. & Kufuor, Karen, 2022. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 115028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Oct 2022.
    7. Monireh Rafat, 2018. "The Interactive Relationship between Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investments (FDI): A VAR Analysis in Iran," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 22(1), pages 163-185, Winter.
    8. Fosu, Prince, 2019. "The Determinants of Economic Growth: The Role of Infrastructure," MPRA Paper 93101, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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