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Oil-Price Shocks: Beyond Standard Aggregate Demand/Aggregate Supply Analysis

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  • S. Kirk Elwood

Abstract

The author explores the problems of portraying oil-price shocks using the aggregate demand/aggregate supply model. Although oil-price shocks are the most commonly cited examples of aggregate supply shocks, they violate the model's assumption of constant relative prices (as acknowledged by the label, “oil-price shocks”). The resulting problems are effectively masked in textbook presentations by implicitly assuming that the supply shocks occur in a closed economy. However, the typical discussion is glaringly inaccurate when discussing the effects of oil-price shocks on oil-rich countries. Thus, the cogency of the standard model's representation of oil-price shocks on open economies is compromised. A simple modification of the model that differentiates between production and absorption goods enables it to better reflect the effects of oil-price shocks on open economies.

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  • S. Kirk Elwood, 2001. "Oil-Price Shocks: Beyond Standard Aggregate Demand/Aggregate Supply Analysis," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 381-386, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jeduce:v:32:y:2001:i:4:p:381-386
    DOI: 10.1080/00220480109596116
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pindyck, Robert S, 1978. "Gains to Producers from the Cartelization of Exhaustible Resources," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(2), pages 238-251, May.
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    1. Reem Khamis Hamdan & Allam Mohammed Hamdan, 2020. "Liner and nonliner sectoral response of stock markets to oil price movements: The case of Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 336-348, July.
    2. Dobronravova, Elizaveta (Добронравова, Елизавета), 2018. "Monetary Policy Peculiarities in Countries with Natural Resources, with Significant Changes in Terms of Trade [Особенности Монетарной Политики В Странах, Наделенных Природными Ресурсами, При Значит," Working Papers 031811, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    3. Harald SCHMIDBAUER & Eren KALAYCIO?LU, 2008. "Crude Oil and Oil-Related Turkish Company Stocks: A Volatility Analysis," EcoMod2008 23800127, EcoMod.
    4. George Filis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou, 2014. "Financial and monetary policy responses to oil price shocks: evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 709-729, May.
    5. Animashaun, Jubril & Wossink, Ada, 2024. "How do households cope during aggregate shocks? Evidence from the 2009–2015 oil crisis in Nigeria," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    6. Reem Khamis & Mohammad Anasweh & Allam Hamdan, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Market Returns in Oil Exporting Countries: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 301-306.
    7. Tan, Yan & Uprasen, Utai, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on income inequality in ASEAN countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

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