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Latin America after the global crisis: the role of export-led and tradable-led growth regimes

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  • Gonzalo Hern�ndez Jim�nez
  • Arslan Razmi

Abstract

Is the ongoing economic slowdown in industrialized countries likely to impact Latin American growth negatively in the medium- to long-run? This paper considers various transmission channels that work through trade in goods and services, and finds econometric evidence suggesting that shrinking global imbalances may create problems for Latin America. Specifically, using panel data analysis, we find that the trade balance as a proportion of GDP is positively associated with Latin American economic growth over the period 1953-2009. We then develop a simple dynamic model to help explain our main finding through investment and saving behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Gonzalo Hern�ndez Jim�nez & Arslan Razmi, 2014. "Latin America after the global crisis: the role of export-led and tradable-led growth regimes," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(6), pages 713-741, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:28:y:2014:i:6:p:713-741
    DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2014.933785
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Razmi, Arslan & Rapetti, Martin & Skott, Peter, 2012. "The real exchange rate and economic development," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 151-169.
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    6. Jimenez, Gonzalo Hernandez & Razmi, Arslan, 2013. "Can Asia sustain an export-led growth strategy in the aftermath of the global crisis? Exploring a neglected aspect," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 45-61.
    7. Feder, Gershon, 1983. "On exports and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-2), pages 59-73.
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