IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/eurjfi/v12y2006i1p23-32.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Intertemporal stability of the European credit spread co-movement structure1

Author

Listed:
  • Jan Annaert
  • Anouk Claes
  • Marc De Ceuster

Abstract

Corporate bonds expose the investor to credit risk, which will be reflected in the credit spread. Based on the EMU Broad Market indices, this paper reports studies of the intertemporal stability of the covariance and correlation matrices of credit spread changes on weekly data. For a multivariate framework, the Box and Jennrich tests are the most commonly used test statistics in the literature. However, it is shown that for small samples these tests are not well specified when the normality assumption is relaxed. A bootstrap-based statistical inference provides evidence that correlations and covariances between various (investment grade) credit spread changes are unstable over the 1998-2003 period.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Annaert & Anouk Claes & Marc De Ceuster, 2006. "Intertemporal stability of the European credit spread co-movement structure1," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 23-32.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:12:y:2006:i:1:p:23-32
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847042000304116
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1351847042000304116
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/1351847042000304116?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kon, Stanley J, 1984. "Models of Stock Returns-A Comparison," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(1), pages 147-165, March.
    2. G. Y. N. Tang, 1995. "Stability of international stock market relationships across month of the year and different holding intervals," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(3), pages 207-218.
    3. Tang, Gordon Y. N., 1995. "Intertemporal stability in international stock market relationships: A revisit," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(35), pages 579-593.
    4. Blattberg, Robert C & Gonedes, Nicholas J, 1974. "A Comparison of the Stable and Student Distributions as Statistical Models for Stock Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 47(2), pages 244-280, April.
    5. Ali M. Parhizgari & Arun J. Prakash, 1989. "Tests of the Equality of Dispersion Matrices," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 38(3), pages 553-564, November.
    6. Boothe, Paul & Glassman, Debra, 1987. "The statistical distribution of exchange rates: Empirical evidence and economic implications," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3-4), pages 297-319, May.
    7. Meric, Ilhan & Meric, Gulser, 1989. "Potential gains from international portfolio diversification and inter-temporal stability and seasonality in international stock market relationships," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 627-640, September.
    8. Kaplanis, Evi C., 1988. "Stability and forecasting of the comovement measures of international stock market returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 63-75, March.
    9. Rudiger Kiesel & William Perraudin & Alex Taylor, 2001. "The structure of credit risk: spread volatility and ratings transitions," Bank of England working papers 131, Bank of England.
    10. Kryzanowski, Lawrence & To, Minh Chau, 1987. "The E-V stationarity of secure returns : Some empirical evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 117-135, March.
    11. Ball, Clifford A. & Torous, Walter N., 1983. "A Simplified Jump Process for Common Stock Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 53-65, March.
    12. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:6:p:2225-2241 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Brière, Marie & Chapelle, Ariane & Szafarz, Ariane, 2012. "No contagion, only globalization and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1729-1744.
    2. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7746 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Mehdi Mili, 2018. "Systemic risk spillovers in sovereign credit default swaps in Europe: a spatial approach," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(2), pages 133-143, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Richard Harris & C. Coskun Kucukozmen, 2001. "The empirical distribution of stock returns: evidence from an emerging European market," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(6), pages 367-371.
    2. Raj Aggarwal & Min Qi, 2009. "Distribution of extreme changes in Asian currencies: tail index estimates and value-at-risk calculations," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(13), pages 1083-1102.
    3. Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
    4. López Martín, María del Mar & García, Catalina García & García Pérez, José, 2012. "Treatment of kurtosis in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(5), pages 2032-2045.
    5. Bhattacharyya, Malay & Madhav R, Siddarth, 2012. "A Comparison of VaR Estimation Procedures for Leptokurtic Equity Index Returns," MPRA Paper 54189, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Peiro, Amado, 1999. "Skewness in financial returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 847-862, June.
    7. Fong, Wai Mun, 1997. "Robust beta estimation: Some empirical evidence," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 167-186.
    8. Alexander Eastman & Brian Lucey, 2008. "Skewness and asymmetry in futures returns and volumes," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(10), pages 777-800.
    9. Kaehler, Jürgen & Marnet, Volker, 1993. "Markov-switching models for exchange-rate dynamics and the pricing of foreign-currency options," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-03, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    10. Mondher Bellalah & Marc Lavielle, 2002. "A Decomposition of Empirical Distributions with Applications to the Valuation of Derivative Assets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 6(2), pages 99-130, June.
    11. Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis & Nikitas Pittis, 2016. "Statistical Modeling Of Stock Returns: Explanatory Or Descriptive? A Historical Survey With Some Methodological Reflections," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 149-164, February.
    12. McCurdy, Thomas H & Morgan, Ieuan G, 1988. "Testing the Martingale Hypothesis in Deutsche Mark Futures with Models Specifying the Form of Heteroscedasticity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(3), pages 187-202, July-Sept.
    13. Errunza, Vihang & Hogan, Kedreth Jr. & Mazumdar, Sumon C., 1996. "Behavior of international stock return distributions: A simple test of functional form," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 51-61.
    14. Eom, Cheoljun & Kaizoji, Taisei & Scalas, Enrico, 2019. "Fat tails in financial return distributions revisited: Evidence from the Korean stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    15. Muneer Shaik & S. Maheswaran, 2019. "Robust Volatility Estimation with and Without the Drift Parameter," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(1), pages 57-91, March.
    16. Farias, A. R. & Ornelas, J. R. H & Fajardo, J., 2004. "Goodness-of-Fit Test focuses on Conditional Value at Risk:An Empirical Analysis of Exchange Rates," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_70, Finance Lab, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    17. ROCKINGER, Michael & JONDEAU, Eric, 1999. "The Tail Behavior of Stock Returns: Emerging versus Mature Markets," HEC Research Papers Series 668, HEC Paris.
    18. Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis & Nikitas Pittis, "undated". "Statistical Modeling of Stock Returns: Explanatory or Descriptive? A Historical Survey with Some Methodological Reflections," DEOS Working Papers 1331, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    19. Gordon Tang, 1998. "The intertemporal stability of the covariance and correlation matrices of Hong Kong stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 359-365.
    20. Christian Walter, 2001. "Searching for scaling laws in distributional properties of price variations: a review over 40 years," Post-Print hal-04567942, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:12:y:2006:i:1:p:23-32. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/REJF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.