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Valuation of multi-stage BOT projects involving dedicated asset investments: a sequential compound option approach

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  • Yu-Lin Huang
  • Chai-Chi Pi

Abstract

The valuation of multi-stage build-operate-transfer projects is not a trivial task. It needs to deal with uncertain project values in future expansions and the possibility of expansions or abandonment in the presence of project risks. The valuation problem becomes more difficult when multi-stage projects require upfront and intermediate dedicated asset investments for future expansions. Dedicated asset investments may or may not create project values, depending on whether future expansions could be justified and realized. A sequential compound option model is proposed to tackle these important valuation issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu-Lin Huang & Chai-Chi Pi, 2009. "Valuation of multi-stage BOT projects involving dedicated asset investments: a sequential compound option approach," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(7), pages 653-666.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:27:y:2009:i:7:p:653-666
    DOI: 10.1080/01446190903002789
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    Cited by:

    1. João Adelino Ribeiro & Paulo Jorge Pereira & Elísio Brandão, 2013. "A Two-Factor Uncertainty Model to Determine the Optimal Contractual Penalty for a Build-Own-Transfer Project," CEF.UP Working Papers 1308, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    2. Chih-Yao Huang & Ren-Jye Dzeng, 2019. "Evaluating Ancillary Business Scale for PPP-BOT Projects: A Social Housing BOT Case in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-17, March.
    3. Wang, Xiandong & He, Jianmin, 2017. "A simple method for generalized sequential compound options pricing," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 85-91.
    4. Zhao, Pingping & Wang, Tong & Song, Aimin & Chen, Peimin, 2023. "Valuing new drug R&D project under economic fluctuation, technical risks and subjective uncertainty," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).

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    Keywords

    Valuation; build-operate-transfer;

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