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Approximately predicting the cost and duration of school reconstruction projects in Taiwan

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  • Wei Tong Chen
  • Ying-Hua Huang

Abstract

Regression and neural network models have been developed to predict the cost and duration of projects for the reconstruction of schools which must be quickly rebuilt. Data for the school reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected and analysed. The analytical results demonstrate that the floor area provides a good basis for estimating the cost and duration of school reconstruction projects, and suggest that the neural network model with back-propagation learning technique is a feasible approach that yields better prediction results than the regression model for school reconstruction projects.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Tong Chen & Ying-Hua Huang, 2006. "Approximately predicting the cost and duration of school reconstruction projects in Taiwan," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(12), pages 1231-1239.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:conmgt:v:24:y:2006:i:12:p:1231-1239
    DOI: 10.1080/01446190600953805
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Trefor Williams, 2002. "Predicting completed project cost using bidding data," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 225-235.
    2. Albert Chan, 1999. "Modelling building durations in Hong Kong," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 189-196.
    3. Daniel Chan & Mohan Kumaraswamy, 1999. "Modelling and predicting construction durations in Hong Kong public housing," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 351-362.
    4. Margaret Emsley & David Lowe & A. Roy Duff & Anthony Harding & Adam Hickson, 2002. "Data modelling and the application of a neural network approach to the prediction of total construction costs," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 465-472.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vitor Sousa & Inês Meireles, 2018. "The Influence of the Construction Technology in Time-Cost Relationships of Sewerage Projects," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(8), pages 2753-2766, June.

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