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Persistence in the private debt-t -GDP ratio: evidence from 43 OECD countries

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  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana
  • Maria Malmierca

Abstract

This paper investigates the degree of persistence of the private debt-to-GDP ratio in 43 OECD countries by estimating the fractional integration parameter of each series. Almost all of them are found to be highly persistent, with orders of integration around or above 1. The only exception is Argentina, where the series appears to be mean-reverting. These results highlight the key importance of macroprudential policy as one of the pillars of macro policy.

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  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Maria Malmierca, 2021. "Persistence in the private debt-t -GDP ratio: evidence from 43 OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(43), pages 5018-5027, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:5018-5027
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912700
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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

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