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The long-term financial drivers of fine wine prices: The role of emerging markets

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  • Cardebat, Jean-Marie
  • Jiao, Linda

Abstract

We analyze the long-term relationship between the fine wine market and stock markets, from world level to specific countries, by applying a cointegration approach on a 21-year monthly database. Our database includes the Liv-ex Fine Wine Investables Index, 6 Liv-ex sub-indices, 25 MSCI Indexes and 10 national stock market indexes. Results suggest significant cointegration between emerging markets, especially Asia, and fine wine markets, and also causality from the former to the latter. As a result, the slowdown of economic growth in emerging countries can be a risk to the fine wine market. Furthermore, Mainland China appears to be one of the main drivers of fine wine markets, and more precisely, the leading Bordeaux wines. We suggest that along with single-index analysis, our approach can be taken into consideration in fine wine price forecasting and portfolio diversification strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Cardebat, Jean-Marie & Jiao, Linda, 2018. "The long-term financial drivers of fine wine prices: The role of emerging markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 347-361.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:67:y:2018:i:c:p:347-361
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2017.07.016
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    3. Eric Le Fur & Jean-François Outreville, 2019. "Fine wine returns: a review of the literature," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 196-214, May.
    4. Fedoseeva, Svetlana, 2020. "(Dynamic) willingness to pay and e-commerce: Insights from sparkling wine sector in Russia," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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    6. Ben Ameur, Hachmi & Le Fur, Eric, 2020. "Volatility transmission to the fine wine market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 307-316.
    7. Fromentin, Vincent & Pecchioli, Bruno & Moroz, David, 2024. "Time-varying causality among whisky, wine, and equity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    8. Philippe Masset & Jean‐Philippe Weisskopf, 2022. "At what price should Bordeaux wines be released?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(1), pages 392-412, January.
    9. Fur, Eric Le, 2021. "Fine Wines in a Diversified Portfolio of Collectibles," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315852, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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