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Testing weak exogeneity in cointegrated panels

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  • Enrique Moral-Benito
  • Luis Serv鮠

Abstract

For reasons of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explicitly modelled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if the conditioning variables are weakly exogenous for the parameters of interest. This article proposes a new test of weak exogeneity in panel cointegration models. The test has a limiting Gumbel distribution that is obtained by first letting and then letting . We evaluate the accuracy of the asymptotic approximation in finite samples via simulation experiments. Finally, as an empirical illustration, we test weak exogeneity of disposable income and wealth in aggregate consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique Moral-Benito & Luis Serv鮠, 2015. "Testing weak exogeneity in cointegrated panels," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(30), pages 3216-3228, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3216-3228
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013611
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    Cited by:

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    2. Pu Chen, 2024. "Vector Error Correction Models with Stationary and Nonstationary Variables," Economic Analysis Letters, Anser Press, vol. 3(2), pages 34-47, June.
    3. Stewart, Chris, 2023. "The autoregressive distributed lag bounds test generalised to consider a long-run levels relationship when all levels variables are 𝑰(𝟎)," Economics Discussion Papers 2023-2, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
    4. Osabuohien-Irabor Osarumwense & Julian I. Mbegbu, 2017. "Power and Size analysis of Co-integration tests in Conditional Heteroskedascity: A Monte Carlo Simulation," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(3), pages 17-34, September.
    5. Tabaghdehi, Seyedeh Asieh H. & Hunter, John, 2020. "Long-run price behaviour in the gasoline market - The role of exogeneity," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 620-627.
    6. David Mayer-Foulkes & Kurt A. Hafner, 2017. "The technology Gradient in the Market Economy," Working Papers DTE 606, CIDE, División de Economía.
    7. Pretis, Felix, 2021. "Exogeneity in climate econometrics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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