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The impact of the ACFTA on ASEAN--PRC trade: estimates based on an extended gravity model for component trade

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  • Yu Sheng
  • Hsiao Chink Tang
  • Xinpeng Xu

Abstract

This article uses an extended gravity model to examine the impact of the free trade agreement between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) on their trade flows and patterns. New determinants are utilized to capture the growing importance of global production sharing and intraregional trade in parts and components in East Asia. We show that the free trade agreement leads to substantially higher and more pronounced bilateral trade flows between ASEAN and the PRC than what a conventional gravity model predicts and the increase is concentrated in ASEAN countries that have stronger industrial linkages with the PRC.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Sheng & Hsiao Chink Tang & Xinpeng Xu, 2014. "The impact of the ACFTA on ASEAN--PRC trade: estimates based on an extended gravity model for component trade," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(19), pages 2251-2263, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2251-2263
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899676
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    1. Kim , Sangkyom & Park , Innwon & Park , Soonchan, 2013. "A Free Trade Area of Asia Pacific (FTAAP): Is It Desirable?," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 17(1), pages 3-25, March.
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    4. Holmes, Peter & Lopez-Gonzalez, Javier, 2011. "The Nature and Evolution of Vertical Specialisation: What is the Role of Preferential Trade Agreements?," Papers 222, World Trade Institute.
    5. Kawai, Masahiro & Wignaraja, Ganeshan, 2008. "Regionalism as an Engine of Multilateralism: A Case for a Single East Asian FTA," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 14, Asian Development Bank.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Shahriar Kabir & Harry Bloch & Ruhul A Salim, 2018. "Global Financial Crisis And Southeast Asian Trade Performance: Empirical Evidence," Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 114-144, July.
    3. My Duong & Mark J. Holmes & Anna Strutt & Steven Lim, 2019. "Effects of Trade Agreements and Foreign Direct Investment on Trade: Evidence from Vietnam," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 116-126.
    4. Foo, Nam & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Salim, Ruhul, 2020. "The impact of China’s one belt one road initiative on international trade in the ASEAN region," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    5. Poomthan Rangkakulnuwat & Rungravee Weravess, 2022. "The gravity model for rice exports: The cases of India and Thailand," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1432-1473.
    6. Qiaomin Li & Sholeh Maani, 2018. "Detecting positive effects of the ASEAN-China free trade agreement on foreign direct investment," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 69-87, January.
    7. Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz & Yuxin Lu, 2022. "The role of the One-Belt One-Road initiative in China’s exports and global value chains," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(2), pages 317-341, June.

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