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An innovative approach to National Football League standings using bonus points

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  • N. Winchester
  • R. T. Stefani

Abstract

We investigate the inclusion of bonus points in the National Football League (NFL) using a prediction model built on league points. Both touchdown-based and narrow-loss bonuses are shown to be significant determinants of match outcomes. This implies that including bonus points in league standings generates a more accurate ranking of teams from best to worst than a system that only rewards wins and ties. Our preferred system awards four points for a win, two for a tie, one point for scoring three or more touchdowns and one point for losing by seven or fewer points. Such a system would also make it easier for supporters to identify playoff contenders and place importance on otherwise meaningless end-of-game plays in some matches, which would increase spectator interest.

Suggested Citation

  • N. Winchester & R. T. Stefani, 2013. "An innovative approach to National Football League standings using bonus points," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 123-134, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:123-134
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595694
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    Cited by:

    1. Jason A. Winfree, 2021. "If You Don'T Like The Outcome, Change The Contest," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(1), pages 329-343, January.
    2. Craig, J. Dean & Winchester, Niven, 2021. "Predicting the national football league potential of college quarterbacks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(2), pages 733-743.

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