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A time-varying analysis of abnormal performance of UK property companies

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  • George Matysiak
  • Gerald Brown

Abstract

The investment selection ability of property company managers is investigated. The specialized nature of commercial property portfolio holdings presents the opportunity for added value and, therefore, for abnormal performance. It is argued that property company share investment performance should be undertaken using time-varying abnormal performance measures; in particular, a time-varying measure of Jenen's excess performance. Furthermore, because of the changing structure of both the composition of the underlying property portfolios held by property companies and the levels of gearing, the analytical framework should also employ a time-varying beta measure. Over the period of analysis, 1980-1995, the majority of property companies analysed exhibited an enduring risk-adjusted underperformance profile, although this was not found to be statistically distinguishable from zero. For the few companies delivering a positive abnormal performance it did not prove statistically significant. The implication is that the total returns delivered by property companies are not significantly different from a random buy-and-hold strategy. This may be indicative of the indifferent performance of the underlying direct property portfolio holdings, with the implication that property company managers have not demonstrated any property selection skills by exploiting their specialist knowledge in identifying underpriced investment opportunities. If property selection ability does exist in the direct commercial property market then, in the main, it is not reflected in risk-adjusted outperformance in property company share prices. If investors believe there are inefficiencies in the direct commercial property market, and therefore opportunities for outperformance, it does not appear to be possible to exploit such inefficiencies indirectly by investing in property company shares.

Suggested Citation

  • George Matysiak & Gerald Brown, 1997. "A time-varying analysis of abnormal performance of UK property companies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 367-377.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:7:y:1997:i:4:p:367-377
    DOI: 10.1080/096031097333484
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Coleman, Jane A. & Shaik, Saleem, 2009. "Time-Varying Estimation of Crop Insurance Program in Altering North Dakota Farm Economic Structure," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49516, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Luis Ferruz Agudo & Maria Vargas Magallon & Jose Sarto, 2006. "Evaluation of performance and conditional information: the case of Spanish mutual funds," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 803-817.
    3. Kim Hiang Liow, 2006. "The Dynamics of Return Volatilty and Systematic Risk in International Real Estate Security Markets," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 1-29, November.
    4. Stephen Lee, 2008. "Is The Uk Real Estate Market Converging With The Rest Of Europe?," ERES eres2008_192, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    5. Joseph Ooi & Kim-Hiang Liow, 2004. "Risk-Adjusted Performance of Real Estate Stocks: Evidence from Developing Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 371-396, January.

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