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A value-at-risk approach with kernel estimator

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  • Alex YiHou Huang

Abstract

This article proposes an alternative approach of Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimation. Financial assets are known to have irregular return patterns; not only the volatility but also the distribution functions themselves may vary with time. Therefore, traditional time-series models of VaR estimation assuming constant and specific distribution are often unreliable. The study addresses the issue and employs the nonparametric kernel estimator technique directly on the tail distributions of financial assets to produce VaR estimates. Various key methodologies of VaR estimation are briefly discussed and compared. The empirical study utilizing a sample of stocks and stock indices for almost 14 years data shows that the proposed approach outperforms other existing methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Alex YiHou Huang, 2009. "A value-at-risk approach with kernel estimator," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 379-395.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:19:y:2009:i:5:p:379-395
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100701857906
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    Cited by:

    1. Mateusz Buczyński & Marcin Chlebus, 2019. "Old-fashioned parametric models are still the best. A comparison of Value-at-Risk approaches in several volatility states," Working Papers 2019-12, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    2. Alex Huang, 2013. "Value at risk estimation by quantile regression and kernel estimator," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 225-251, August.
    3. Huang, Alex YiHou, 2010. "An optimization process in Value-at-Risk estimation," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 109-116, August.
    4. Alex Yi-Hou Huang & Tsung-Wei Tseng, 2009. "Forecast of value at risk for equity indices: an analysis from developed and emerging markets," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 393-409, August.
    5. Halkos, George & Tsirivis, Apostolos, 2019. "Using Value-at-Risk for effective energy portfolio risk management," MPRA Paper 91674, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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