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Irish stock returns and inflation: a long span perspective

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  • Geraldine Ryan

Abstract

A major issue in financial economics is the behaviour of stock returns over long as opposed to short horizons. This paper looks at the relationship between continuously compounded nominal returns and inflation over both short and long horizons. Using over two centuries of annual data for Ireland, this paper finds support for the Generalized Fisher Hypothesis; namely that real stock returns are independent of expected inflation over the long run, and a positive relationship between ex post long-horizon nominal stock returns and inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Geraldine Ryan, 2006. "Irish stock returns and inflation: a long span perspective," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(9), pages 699-706.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:16:y:2006:i:9:p:699-706
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100600691919
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Atilla Cifter, 2015. "Stock Returns, Inflation, and Real Activity in Developing Countries: A Markov-Switching Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(1), pages 55-76, March.
    4. Somayeh Madadpour & Mohsen Asgari, 2019. "The puzzling relationship between stocks return and inflation: a review article," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 66(2), pages 115-145, June.
    5. Rushdi, Mustabshira & Kim, Jae H. & Silvapulle, Param, 2012. "ARDL bounds tests and robust inference for the long run relationship between real stock returns and inflation in Australia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 535-543.

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