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Feedbacks between mutual fund flows and security returns: evidence from the Greek capital market

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  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale
  • Nikolaos Philippas
  • Nikitas Pittis

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamic interactions between mutual fund flows and security returns in an emerging capital market, namely the Greek one. It adopts a testing strategy not requiring pre-testing (which might generate severe biases) but simply augmenting the system (Toda and Yamamoto, 1995, Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225-50). The resulting statistics follow standard distributions, and valid inference can be drawn. Further, possible feedbacks from international capital markets are taken into account by including in the system the Dow Jones index. By combining causality tests and generalized impulse response analysis (as in Pesaran and Shin, 1998, Economic Letters, 58, 17-29), it is found that momentum trading is the most plausible explanation for dynamic feedbacks, and that temporary price pressures might also be a relevant factor, whilst information revelation does not appear to play a role.

Suggested Citation

  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nikolaos Philippas & Nikitas Pittis, 2004. "Feedbacks between mutual fund flows and security returns: evidence from the Greek capital market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(14), pages 981-989.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:14:p:981-989
    DOI: 10.1080/0960310042000263941
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    8. Davidson, Wallace N, III & Dutia, Dipa, 1989. "A Note on the Behavior of Security Returns: A Test of Stock Market Overreaction and Efficiency," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 12(3), pages 245-252, Fall.
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chang, Tsangyao & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "The relationship between commodity markets and commodity mutual funds: A wavelet-based analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-9.
    2. Carlos Alves & Victor Mendes, 2007. "Are mutual fund investors in jail?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(16), pages 1301-1312.
    3. Vassilios Babalos & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Nicola Spagnolo, 2021. "Equity fund flows and stock market returns in the USA before and after the global financial crisis: a VAR-GARCH-in-mean analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 539-555, February.
    4. Watson, John & Wickramanayake, J., 2012. "The relationship between aggregate managed fund flows and share market returns in Australia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 451-472.
    5. Alexakis, Christos & Dasilas, Apostolos & Grose, Chris, 2013. "Asymmetric dynamic relations between stock prices and mutual fund units in Japan. An application of hidden cointegration technique," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 1-8.
    6. Ros Zam Zam Sapian & Jing Quan Lee, 2018. "Return, Volatility and Equity Fund Flows Linkages: Evidence from an Emerging Market," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 8(7), pages 172-186, July.
    7. Roberto Savona, 2006. "Do mutual funds styles reflect a country-specific investment philosophy? The Italian case," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 303-318.
    8. Oludele Akinboade & Emilie Kinfack, 2014. "An Econometric Analysis of the Relationship Between Millennium Development Goals, Economic Growth and Financial Development in South Africa," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 118(2), pages 775-795, September.
    9. Yue Meinn GOH & Ros Zam Zam SAPIAN, 2017. "Return, Volatility And Fund Flows Linkages: Malaysian Evidence," Management and Marketing Journal, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 0(2), pages 59-69, November.
    10. Eleni Thanou & Dikaios Tserkezos, 2008. "Nonlinear Diachronic Effects Between Stock Returns and Mutual Fund Flows: Additional Empirical Evidence from the Athens Stocks Exchange," Working Papers 0826, University of Crete, Department of Economics.

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