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Currency devaluation and output growth: new evidence from panel data analysis

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  • Dimitris Christopoulos

Abstract

Using panel data unit root tests and panel cointegration tests including Johansen maximum likelihood cointegration tests, as well as estimation techniques appropriate for heterogeneous panels such as fully modified OLS, this study examines the effect of currency devaluation on output expansion in a sample of eleven Asian countries over the period 1968-1999. The results suggest that, in the long run, output growth is affected by currency devaluation in the majority of countries under examination and in the panel as a whole. This finding stands at variance with other recent studies, which concluded that devaluation does not exert any important influence on aggregate output.

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  • Dimitris Christopoulos, 2004. "Currency devaluation and output growth: new evidence from panel data analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(13), pages 809-813.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:11:y:2004:i:13:p:809-813
    DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000254647
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    Cited by:

    1. Matesanz Gómez, David & Ortega, Guillermo J., 2005. "Economic growth and currency crisis: A real exchange rate entropic approach," MPRA Paper 211, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2006.
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    3. Fouopi Djiogap Constant, 2012. "The CFA Franc Devaluation and Output Growth in the Franc Zone," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(1), pages 40-48, January.
    4. Acharya, Sanjaya, 2010. "Potential impacts of the devaluation of Nepalese currency: A general equilibrium approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 413-436, December.
    5. Tavakoli , Akbar & Kheradmand , Alireza, 2013. "Chronicle of Currency Collapses and the Effects on Output: Evidence from Six Asian Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 8(2), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Hsing Yu, 2012. "Impacts of the Exchange Rate and the Global Interest Rate on Real Output for Ten Selected Latin American Countries," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, March.
    7. M Bahmani-Oskooee & A Mohammadian, 2018. "On the Relation between Domestic Output and Exchange Rates in 68 Countries: An Asymmetry Analysis," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 23(2), pages 1-29, September.
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    9. Zakee SAADAT & Dawood MAMOON, 2016. "Destination EU and USA: Improving Export Potential of Pakistan by Trading with India," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 659-669, December.
    10. Tatiana Evdokimova & Pavel Trunin & Andrei Zubarev, 2013. "The Impact of the Real Ruble Exchange Rate on the Economic Activity in Russia," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 165P, pages 164-164.
    11. M Bahmani-Oskooee & I Miteza, 2006. "Stock Market Growth: An analysis of cointegration and causality," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 11(1), pages 37-64, March.
    12. Hsing Yu & Hsieh Wen-jen, 2017. "Is Real Depreciation or Rising Government Debt Contractionary in India? A Simultaneous-Equation Model," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-6, June.
    13. Joseph Chukwudi Odionye & Jude Okechukwu Chukwu, 2021. "The Asymmetric Effects Of Currency Devaluation In Selected Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 66(230), pages 135-156, July – Se.
    14. Hakan Berument & Eray Yucel, 2008. "Effects of USD-Euro parity on a small open economy: evidence from Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(16), pages 2165-2174.
    15. Hafnida Hasan, 2018. "Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Indonesia," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(12), pages 1-37, December.
    16. Muhammad Shahbaz & Faridul Islam & Naveed Aamir, 2012. "Is devaluation contractionary? Empirical evidence for Pakistan," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 299-316, November.
    17. Mironov, Valeriy, 2015. "Russian devaluation in 2014–2015: Falling into the abyss or a window of opportunity?," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 217-239.
    18. Adebayo Mohammed, Ojuolape & H. Agboola, Yusuf & K. Moshood, Alabi & O. Abdullah, Oladipupo, 2020. "The Effects of Currency Devaluation on Output Growth in Developing Economies with Currency Crises," Working Papers 7, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin.
    19. Muhammad Riyadh Ghozali Lubis & Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim & Gan Pei Tha & Norimah Rambeli & Ramli, 2017. "Exchange Rate Effect on Gross Domestic Product in the Five Founding Members of ASEAN," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 7(11), pages 1284-1293, November.
    20. Mashkoor, Asim & Ahmed, Ovais & Herani, Dr. Gobin, 2015. "The relationship between Foreign Currency trading and Economic Development: A case Study of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 64482, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Manuchehr Irandoust, 2006. "The response of industry employment to exchange rate shocks: evidence from panel cointegration," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(4), pages 415-421.

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