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Can interest rate changes help predict future stock price movements? Evidence from the German market

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  • Sikandar Siddiqui

Abstract

By applying a linear regression model to monthly time series data from the German equity and money markets, this paper challenges the conventional viewpoint that historical data do not possess any explanatory power for future stock market returns.

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  • Sikandar Siddiqui, 2003. "Can interest rate changes help predict future stock price movements? Evidence from the German market," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 209-211.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:209-211
    DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066859
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Young-Min Kim, 2020. "Do Fund Investors Consider Asset Returns? Substitute Relation Among Investment Funds in Korea," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 27(4), pages 521-536, December.
    2. Riza Demirer & Asli Yuksel & Aydin Yuksel, 2020. "The U.S. term structure and return volatility in emerging stock markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 687-707, October.
    3. Li, Matthew C., 2016. "US term structure and international stock market volatility: The role of the expectations factor and the maturity premium," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-15.
    4. Grzegorz Przekota & Anna Szczepańska-Przekota, 2010. "The reaction of the WIG stock market index to changes in the interest rates on bank deposits," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 20(1), pages 97-110.
    5. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2017. "Towards an asymmetric long run equilibrium between stock market uncertainty and the yield spread. A threshold vector error correction approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 267-279.

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