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Food price volatility and macroeconomic factor volatility: 'heat waves' or 'meteor showers'?

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  • Nicholas Apergis
  • Anthony Rezitis

Abstract

This paper investigates volatility spillover effects between relative food prices and explicit macroeconomic fundamentals, i.e. exchange rates, money balances, inflation, and the deficit to income ratio, through the methodology of GARCH models. The findings showed that significant and positive macroeconomic volatility effects influence the volatility of relative food prices. Moreover, the volatility of relative food prices exerts a positive and statistically significant impact on its own volatility. The results imply that the participation of Greece in EMU will diminish the volatility of those macroeconomic factors, implying lower volatility in food prices and thus higher benefits for both producers and consumers.

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  • Nicholas Apergis & Anthony Rezitis, 2003. "Food price volatility and macroeconomic factor volatility: 'heat waves' or 'meteor showers'?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 155-160.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:10:y:2003:i:3:p:155-160
    DOI: 10.1080/1350485022000044011
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    Cited by:

    1. Chang, Chia-Lin & Khamkaew, Thanchanok & McAleer, Michael & Tansuchat, Roengchai, 2011. "Modelling conditional correlations in the volatility of Asian rubber spot and futures returns," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1482-1490.
    2. Wanti Fitrianti & Yusman Syaukat & Sri Hartoyo & Anna Fariyanti, 2019. "The Spillover Effect of Shocks of Fundamental Factors and Speculative Activity on Prices Volatility of World Vegetable Oil," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 230-240.
    3. Nicholas Apergis & Anthony Rezitis, 2003. "Mean spillover effects in agricultural prices: Evidence from changes in policy regimes," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 9(1), pages 69-78, February.

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