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Nonlinear Short-Run Adjustments between REITs and Stock Markets in the USA and Australia

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  • Cheng-Wen Lee
  • Wei-Jui Chen

Abstract

This study examines whether nonlinear co-integration exists between real estate investment trusts (REITs) and corresponding stock markets in the United States and Australia. Moreover, we employ the smooth-transition, vector-error correction model (STVECM) including the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model to separately explore the adjustment efficiencies of the short-run REITs and corresponding stock returns in dynamics. The empirical results demonstrate that there is a nonlinear co-integration with structural breaks between the equity and mortgage REITs and stock markets in the US as well as between the REITs and stock markets in Australia. When large positive and negative deviations of STVECM exist, the speed of equilibrium adjustment of the S&P 500 index is greater than that of the Mortgage REITs index. Additionally, the higher the equilibrium adjustment of Australian/US REITs index, the greater the reversion of Australian/US REITs index. Meanwhile, this study is also interested in finding out whether the REIT indices in the US or Australia would serve as a leading indicator for price movements. The result findings may provide a good reference for the investors’ investment engaged in the areas of these two countries. JEL Classification: C22, D53, G14, L85.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng-Wen Lee & Wei-Jui Chen, 2022. "Nonlinear Short-Run Adjustments between REITs and Stock Markets in the USA and Australia," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(1), pages 1-3.
    • Handle: RePEc:spt:apfiba:v:12:y:2022:i:1:f:12_1_3
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    REITs; STVECM; Nonlinear Granger causality; GARCH.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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