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Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Pandemie verzögert Aufschwung — Demografie bremst Wachstum
[Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Pandemic Delays Upswing — Demography Slows Growth]

Author

Listed:
  • Oliver Holtemöller

    (Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle)

  • Stefan Kooths

    (Institut für Weltwirtschaft)

  • Claus Michelsen

    (DIW Berlin)

  • Torsten Schmidt

    (RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung)

  • Timo Wollmershäuser

    (ifo Zentrum für Konjunkturforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Das erste Jahr der Corona-Pandemie stand in Deutschland im Zeichen extremer Schwankungen der ökonomischen Aktivität und einer massiv gelähmten Binnenwirtschaft. In ihrem Frühjahrsgutachten gehen die Institute davon aus, dass der derzeitige Shutdown zunächst fortgesetzt und ab Mitte Mai bis zum Ende des dritten Quartals nach und nach aufgehoben wird. Im Zuge der Lockerungen wird sich vor allem der private Konsum kräftig erholen. Insgesamt dürfte das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in diesem Jahr um 3,7 % und im kommenden Jahr um 3,9 % zulegen.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Claus Michelsen & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Pandemie verzögert Aufschwung — Demografie bremst Wachstum [Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Pandemic Delays Upswing — Demography Slows Growth]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(5), pages 353-357, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:101:y:2021:i:5:d:10.1007_s10273-021-2915-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-021-2915-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Heike Belitz & Marius Clemens & Marcel Fratzscher & Martin Gornig & Claudia Kemfert & Alexander S. Kritikos & Claus Michelsen & Karsten Neuhoff & Malte Rieth & C. Katharina Spieß, 2020. "Mit Investitionen und Innovationen aus der Corona-Krise," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 87(24), pages 442-451.
    2. Peter Bofinger & Sebastian Dullien & Gabriel Felbermayr & Clemens Fuest & Michael Hüther & Jens Südekum & Beatrice Weder di Mauro, 2020. "Wirtschaftliche Implikationen der Corona-Krise und wirtschaftspolitische Maßnahmen [Economic Implications of the Corona Crisis and Economic Policy Measures]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(4), pages 259-265, April.
    3. Felbermayr, Gabriel & Kooths, Stefan, 2020. "Kieler Modell für betriebliche Stabilisierungshilfen: Funktionsweise und Einsatz in der Corona-Krise," Kiel Policy Brief 148, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Alexander S. Kritikos, 2011. "Gründungszuschuss: ein erfolgreiches Instrument steht zur Disposition," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 78(45), pages 16-21.
    5. Marco Caliendo, 2016. "Start-up subsidies for the unemployed: Opportunities and limitations," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 200-200, March.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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