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Deindustrialisierung und Wahlverhalten
[Deindustrialisation and Voting Behaviour: A Regional Analysis of the German Federal Election of 2017]

Author

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  • Lutz Schneider

    (Hochschule für angewandte Wissenschaften Coburg)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Der politische Erfolg der Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) bei der Bundestagswahl 2017 lässt sich auch mit negativen Auswirkungen einer schrumpfenden Beschäftigung im verarbeitenden Gewerbe erklären. Dieser politische Effekt einer schrumpfenden Beschäftigung ist in Regionen mit vitaler industrieller Tradition besonders stark. Die durchgeführte Regression bestätigt, dass Regionen, die in den 1930er Jahren durch einen hohen Anteil an Beschäftigten in der verarbeitenden Industrie gekennzeichnet waren und die heute einen starken Rückgang der industriellen Beschäftigung verzeichnen, deutlich höhere Wahlergebnisse für die AfD haben.

Suggested Citation

  • Lutz Schneider, 2020. "Deindustrialisierung und Wahlverhalten [Deindustrialisation and Voting Behaviour: A Regional Analysis of the German Federal Election of 2017]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(10), pages 787-792, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:100:y:2020:i:10:d:10.1007_s10273-020-2764-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-020-2764-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Autor & David Dorn & Gordon Hanson & Kaveh Majlesi, 2020. "Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(10), pages 3139-3183, October.
    2. Wolfgang Dauth & Sebastian Findeisen & Jens Suedekum, 2014. "The Rise Of The East And The Far East: German Labor Markets And Trade Integration," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 12(6), pages 1643-1675, December.
    3. Yi Che & Yi Lu & Justin R. Pierce & Peter K. Schott & Zhigang Tao, 2016. "Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-039, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. David Autor & David Dorn & Gordon Hanson, 2019. "When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage Market Value of Young Men," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 1(2), pages 161-178, September.
    5. Felix Rösel & Lasare Samartzidis, 2018. "Wert- statt Geldmangel: AfD triumphiert im Osten dort, wo es an Toleranz und Vertrauen in die Politik fehlt," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(03), pages 09-13, June.
    6. Cantoni, Davide & Hagemeister, Felix & Westcott, Mark, 2019. "Persistence and Activation of Right-Wing Political Ideology," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 143, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
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    Cited by:

    1. Florian W. Bartholomae & Chang Woon Nam & Pierre Rafih, 2022. "Wahlerfolg der AfD und die Flüchtlingskrise: Spielen regionale Disparitäten eine Rolle? [AfD’s Electoral Success and the Refugee Crisis: Do Regional Disparities Matter?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(11), pages 891-897, November.
    2. Maria Greve & Michael Fritsch & Michael Wyrwich, 2023. "Long‐term decline of regions and the rise of populism: The case of Germany," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(2), pages 409-445, March.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • F6 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor

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