IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v38y2024i11d10.1007_s11269-024-03857-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Groundwater Resource Assessment by Applying Long-Term Trend Analysis of Spring Discharge, Water Level, and Hydroclimatic Parameters

Author

Listed:
  • Zhi-Qiang Yu

    (Kumamoto University)

  • Takahiro Hosono

    (Kumamoto University
    Kumamoto University)

  • Hiroki Amano

    (Tokai University)

  • Ronny Berndtsson

    (Lund University)

  • Kei Nakagawa

    (Nagasaki University)

Abstract

Groundwater accounting is becoming increasingly important for sustainable societal development. To gain insights into the long-term spatiotemporal changes from 1992 to 2015 regarding groundwater resources in Kumamoto, southern Japan, we analyzed climatological time series, discharge from the groundwater-fed lake (Ezu Lake), and groundwater levels from 94 wells. To explicitly detect temporal changes in these variables and assess potential drivers of change, we used three different trend analyses: the Mann-Kendall Test (MKT), Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test (SMKT), and Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA). Our results revealed a consistently increasing trend in monthly mean temperature, monthly total precipitation, and maximum hourly rainfall. However, a decreasing trend was detected for the discharge rate from the Ezu Lake from 1992 to 2015. Among the 94 investigated groundwater wells, 64 wells showed an upward trend (p ≤ 0.05), while 23 wells showed a downward trend (p ≤ 0.05) for groundwater level. The observed decline in groundwater level is related to the decline in Ezu Lake discharge. However, the increase for the majority of groundwater wells is related to the increased precipitation and applied artificial groundwater recharge as well as a decrease in the groundwater abstraction rate. The ITA outperformed both SMKT and MKT, particularly in detecting minor variations in hydrological time-series data. The results and approach presented in this study can provide a scientific basis for improve groundwater accounting and water resources management in Kumamoto area and other regions with similar climate and socioeconomic conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhi-Qiang Yu & Takahiro Hosono & Hiroki Amano & Ronny Berndtsson & Kei Nakagawa, 2024. "Groundwater Resource Assessment by Applying Long-Term Trend Analysis of Spring Discharge, Water Level, and Hydroclimatic Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(11), pages 4161-4177, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:38:y:2024:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-024-03857-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-024-03857-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-024-03857-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-024-03857-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Takahiro Hosono & Chisato Yamada & Michael Manga & Chi-Yuen Wang & Masaharu Tanimizu, 2020. "Stable isotopes show that earthquakes enhance permeability and release water from mountains," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. T. Caloiero & R. Coscarelli & E. Ferrari, 2018. "Application of the Innovative Trend Analysis Method for the Trend Analysis of Rainfall Anomalies in Southern Italy," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(15), pages 4971-4983, December.
    3. Muhammad S. Ashraf & Ijaz Ahmad & Noor M. Khan & Fan Zhang & Ahmed Bilal & Jiali Guo, 2021. "Streamflow Variations in Monthly, Seasonal, Annual and Extreme Values Using Mann-Kendall, Spearmen’s Rho and Innovative Trend Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 243-261, January.
    4. Scott Jasechko & Hansjörg Seybold & Debra Perrone & Ying Fan & Mohammad Shamsudduha & Richard G. Taylor & Othman Fallatah & James W. Kirchner, 2024. "Rapid groundwater decline and some cases of recovery in aquifers globally," Nature, Nature, vol. 625(7996), pages 715-721, January.
    5. Barati, Ali Akbar & Azadi, Hossein & Scheffran, Jürgen, 2019. "A system dynamics model of smart groundwater governance," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 502-518.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zamani, Omid & Azadi, Hossein & Mortazavi, Seyed Abolghasem & Balali, Hamid & Moghaddam, Saghi Movahhed & Jurik, Lubos, 2021. "The impact of water-pricing policies on water productivity: Evidence of agriculture sector in Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    2. Noa Ohana-Levi & Yishai Netzer, 2023. "Long-Term Trends of Global Wine Market," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-26, January.
    3. Fabio Di Nunno & Marco De Matteo & Giovanni Izzo & Francesco Granata, 2023. "A Combined Clustering and Trends Analysis Approach for Characterizing Reference Evapotranspiration in Veneto," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Maryam Yazdanparast & Mehdi Ghorbani & Ali Salajegheh & Reza Kerachian, 2023. "Development of a Water Security Conceptual Model by Combining Human-Environmental System (HES) and System Dynamic Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(4), pages 1695-1709, March.
    5. Benabderrazik, K. & Kopainsky, B. & Tazi, L. & Joerin, J. & Six, J., 2021. "Agricultural intensification can no longer ignore water conservation – A systemic modelling approach to the case of tomato producers in Morocco," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    6. Marta Pereira da Luz & Jefferson Lins da Silva & Edna Lizeth Higuera-Castro & Luciano Ferreira Ribeiro, 2022. "Water Availability Assessment from Power Generation Reservoirs in the Rio Grande Operated by Furnas, Brazil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.
    7. Solomon Temidayo Owolabi & Johanes A. Belle & Sonwabo Mazinyo, 2022. "Quantifying Intra-Catchment Streamflow Processes and Response to Climate Change within a Climatic Transitional Zone: A Case Study of Buffalo Catchment, Eastern Cape, South Africa," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-20, August.
    8. Mohammed Achite & Gokmen Ceribasi & Ahmet Iyad Ceyhunlu & Andrzej Wałęga & Tommaso Caloiero, 2021. "The Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) as a Simple Qualitative Method to Detect Changes in Environment—Example Detecting Trends of the Total Monthly Precipitation in Semiarid Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-17, November.
    9. Muhammad Shehzad Ashraf & Muhammad Shahid & Muhammad Waseem & Muhammad Azam & Khalil Ur Rahman, 2023. "Assessment of Variability in Hydrological Droughts Using the Improved Innovative Trend Analysis Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-20, June.
    10. Zekâi Şen, 2024. "Moving Trend Analysis Methodology for Hydro-meteorology Time Series Dynamic Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(11), pages 4415-4429, September.
    11. Kaveh Ostad-Ali-Askari & Mohammad Shayannejad, 2021. "Quantity and quality modelling of groundwater to manage water resources in Isfahan-Borkhar Aquifer," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 15943-15959, November.
    12. Hans Jørgen Henriksen & Lars Troldborg & Maria Ondracek, 2024. "Model and Ensemble Indicator-Guided Assessment of Robust, Exploitable Groundwater Resources for Denmark," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-24, November.
    13. Ali Akbar Barati & Milad Zhoolideh & Mostafa Moradi & Eydieh Sohrabi Mollayousef & Christine Fürst, 2022. "Multidimensional poverty and livelihood strategies in rural Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(11), pages 12963-12993, November.
    14. Mohammed Achite & Tommaso Caloiero & Abderrezak Kamel Toubal, 2022. "Rainfall and Runoff Trend Analysis in the Wadi Mina Basin (Northern Algeria) Using Non-Parametric Tests and the ITA Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-23, August.
    15. Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis & Harris Vangelis, 2018. "Water Resources and Environment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(15), pages 4813-4817, December.
    16. Sinan Nacar, 2023. "Trends of High and Low Values of Annual and Seasonal Precipitation in Turkey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-18, December.
    17. Cihangir Koycegiz & Meral Buyukyildiz, 2023. "Investigation of spatiotemporal variability of some precipitation indices in Seyhan Basin, Turkey: monotonic and sub-trend analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2211-2244, March.
    18. Martin Okirya & JA Du Plessis, 2024. "Trend and Variability Analysis of Annual Maximum Rainfall Using Observed and Remotely Sensed Data in the Tropical Climate Zones of Uganda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-44, July.
    19. Pedram Pishgah Hadiyan & Ramtin Moeini & Eghbal Ehsanzadeh & Monire Karvanpour, 2022. "Trend Analysis of Water Inflow Into the Dam Reservoirs Under Future Conditions Predicted By Dynamic NAR and NARX Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(8), pages 2703-2723, June.
    20. He, Li & Du, Yu & Yu, Menglong & Wen, Hao & Ma, Haochen & Xu, Ying, 2024. "A stochastic simulation-based method for predicting the carrying capacity of agricultural water resources," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:38:y:2024:i:11:d:10.1007_s11269-024-03857-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.