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Streamflow Prediction Utilizing Deep Learning and Machine Learning Algorithms for Sustainable Water Supply Management

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  • Sarmad Dashti Latif

    (Komar University of Science and Technology)

  • Ali Najah Ahmed

    (Universiti Tenaga Nasional (UNITEN))

Abstract

As a result of global climate change, sustainable water supply management is becoming increasingly difficult. Dams and reservoirs are key tools for controlling and managing water resources; they have benefited human cultures in a variety of ways, including enhanced human health, increased food production, water supply for domestic and industrial use, economic growth, irrigation, hydro-power generation, and flood control. This study aims to compare the application of deep learning and conventional machine learning algorithms for predicting daily reservoir inflow. Long short-term memory (LSTM) has been applied as a deep learning algorithm and boosted regression tree (BRT) has been implemented as a machine learning algorithm. Five statistical indices have been selected to evaluate the performance of the proposed models. The selected statistical measurements are mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R), coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE), Nash Sutcliffe Model Efficiency Coefficient (NSE), and the RMSE-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR). The findings showed that LSTM outperformed BRT with a significant difference in terms of accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarmad Dashti Latif & Ali Najah Ahmed, 2023. "Streamflow Prediction Utilizing Deep Learning and Machine Learning Algorithms for Sustainable Water Supply Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(8), pages 3227-3241, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:8:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03499-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03499-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vivien Lai & Ali Najah Ahmed & M.A. Malek & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan & Rusul Khaleel Ibrahim & Ahmed El-Shafie & Amr El-Shafie, 2019. "Modeling the Nonlinearity of Sea Level Oscillations in the Malaysian Coastal Areas Using Machine Learning Algorithms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-26, August.
    2. Yutao Qi & Zhanao Zhou & Lingling Yang & Yining Quan & Qiguang Miao, 2019. "A Decomposition-Ensemble Learning Model Based on LSTM Neural Network for Daily Reservoir Inflow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4123-4139, September.
    3. Marc Jeuland, 2020. "The economics of dams," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 36(1), pages 45-68.
    4. Anas Mahmood Al-Juboori, 2019. "Generating Monthly Stream Flow Using Nearest River Data: Assessing Different Trees Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(9), pages 3257-3270, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ramtin Moeini & Kamran Nasiri & Seyed Hossein Hosseini, 2024. "Predicting the Water Inflow Into the Dam Reservoir Using the Hybrid Intelligent GP-ANN- NSGA-II Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(11), pages 4137-4159, September.
    2. Bibhuti Bhusan Sahoo & Sovan Sankalp & Ozgur Kisi, 2023. "A Novel Smoothing-Based Deep Learning Time-Series Approach for Daily Suspended Sediment Load Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4271-4292, September.
    3. Wenhao Jia & Mufeng Chen & Hongyi Yao & Yixu Wang & Sen Wang & Xiaokuan Ni, 2024. "Improving Sub-daily Runoff Forecast Based on the Multi-objective Optimized Extreme Learning Machine for Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(15), pages 6173-6189, December.
    4. Zhenxiang Jiang & Bo Wu & Hui Chen, 2023. "Dam Health Diagnosis Model Based on Cumulative Distribution Function," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4293-4308, September.
    5. Liu, Tundong & Gao, Fengqiang & Zhou, Weihong & Yan, Yuyue, 2024. "Density control in pedestrian evacuation with incorrect feedback information: Data correction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 643(C).
    6. Sajjad M. Vatanchi & Hossein Etemadfard & Mahmoud F. Maghrebi & Rouzbeh Shad, 2023. "A Comparative Study on Forecasting of Long-term Daily Streamflow using ANN, ANFIS, BiLSTM and CNN-GRU-LSTM," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(12), pages 4769-4785, September.

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