IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v36y2022i9d10.1007_s11269-022-03140-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Global Sensitivity Analysis-based Design of Low Impact Development Practices for Urban Runoff Management Under Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Majid Hashemi

    (K. N. Toosi University of Technology)

  • Najmeh Mahjouri

    (K. N. Toosi University of Technology)

Abstract

In this paper, a new methodology is developed for urban runoff management based on global sensitivity analysis of the storm water management model (SWMM) considering uncertainties. The variogram analysis of response surface (VARS) model is utilized for sensitivity analysis of the SWMM parameters by combining the runoff simulation model of the SWMM with VARS. Three model efficiency metrics, namely Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency metric for the runoff, NSE metric for the logarithm of the runoff, and percent bias in simulating runoff are used to evaluate SWMM outputs and rank its parameters. The reliability of the obtained rankings of parameters is evaluated by developing a bootstrapping-based strategy to estimate confidence intervals for the calculated sensitivity values. A multi-objective optimization model is integrated with the calibrated SWMM, to select optimum scenarios of low impact development-best management practice (LID-BMP). To take into account the rainfall uncertainty, design storm hyetograph is stochastically derived using Monte Carlo analysis and Huff curves (Huff in Water Resour Res 3(4):1007–1019, 1967; Time distributions of heavy rainstorms in Illinois, State of Illinois Department of Energy and Natural Resources, Illinois, 1990). Finally, a socially acceptable LID-BMP scenario out of a set of non-dominated solutions is obtained using the Nash bargaining theory. The proposed method is applied to an urban watershed Iran. The resulted LID-BMPs could decrease runoff volume and pollution load by 24% and about 74%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Majid Hashemi & Najmeh Mahjouri, 2022. "Global Sensitivity Analysis-based Design of Low Impact Development Practices for Urban Runoff Management Under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(9), pages 2953-2972, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03140-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-022-03140-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-022-03140-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-022-03140-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jiake Li & Yutong Yao & Menghua Ma & Yajiao Li & Jun Xia & Xujun Gao, 2021. "A Multi-Index Evaluation System for Identifying the Optimal Configuration of LID Facilities in the Newly Built and Built-up Urban Areas," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(7), pages 2129-2147, May.
    2. Nash, John, 1950. "The Bargaining Problem," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 18(2), pages 155-162, April.
    3. Huan-Feng Duan & Fei Li & Hexiang Yan, 2016. "Multi-Objective Optimal Design of Detention Tanks in the Urban Stormwater Drainage System: LID Implementation and Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4635-4648, October.
    4. Husnain Tansar & Huan-Feng Duan & Ole Mark, 2022. "Catchment-Scale and Local-Scale Based Evaluation of LID Effectiveness on Urban Drainage System Performance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(2), pages 507-526, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Amirhossein Nazari & Abbas Roozbahani & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany, 2023. "Integrated SUSTAIN-SWMM-MCDM Approach for Optimal Selection of LID Practices in Urban Stormwater Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3769-3793, July.
    2. Aurora Gullotta & Tagele Mossie Aschale & David J. Peres & Guido Sciuto & Antonino Cancelliere, 2023. "Modelling Stormwater Runoff Changes Induced by Ground-Mounted Photovoltaic Solar Parks: A Conceptualization in EPA-SWMM," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(11), pages 4507-4520, September.
    3. José M. Rodríguez-Flores & Jorge A. Valero Fandiño & Spencer A. Cole & Keyvan Malek & Tina Karimi & Harrison B. Zeff & Patrick M. Reed & Alvar Escriva-Bou & Josué Medellín-Azuara, 2022. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of a Coupled Hydro-Economic Model and Groundwater Restriction Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(15), pages 6115-6130, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amirhossein Nazari & Abbas Roozbahani & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany, 2023. "Integrated SUSTAIN-SWMM-MCDM Approach for Optimal Selection of LID Practices in Urban Stormwater Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3769-3793, July.
    2. Husnain Tansar & Huan-Feng Duan & Ole Mark, 2022. "Catchment-Scale and Local-Scale Based Evaluation of LID Effectiveness on Urban Drainage System Performance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(2), pages 507-526, January.
    3. Maurizio Zanardi, 2004. "Antidumping law as a collusive device," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 95-122, February.
    4. M. Hinojosa & A. Mármol & J. Zarzuelo, 2008. "Inequality averse multi-utilitarian bargaining solutions," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 37(4), pages 597-618, December.
    5. Matsui, Kenji, 2020. "Optimal bargaining timing of a wholesale price for a manufacturer with a retailer in a dual-channel supply chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(1), pages 225-236.
    6. Simon G�chter & Arno Riedl, "undated". "Moral Property Rights in Bargaining," IEW - Working Papers 113, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
    7. H Peyton Young, 2014. "The Evolution of Social Norms," Economics Series Working Papers 726, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    8. Erkki Koskela & Ronnie Schöb, 2002. "Alleviating Unemployment: The Case for Green Tax Reforms," Chapters, in: Lawrence H. Goulder (ed.), Environmental Policy Making in Economies with Prior Tax Distortions, chapter 20, pages 355-378, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Magni, Carlo Alberto, 2009. "Splitting up value: A critical review of residual income theories," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 1-22, October.
    10. Stefano Vannucci, 2015. "La teoria dei giochi e John Nash," Department of Economics University of Siena 722, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    11. Roland Kirstein & Matthias Peiss, 2013. "Quantitative Machtkonzepte in der Ökonomik," FEMM Working Papers 130004, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    12. Michael Carter & Julian Wright, 1999. "Interconnection in Network Industries," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 14(1), pages 1-25, February.
    13. Laruelle, Annick & Valenciano, Federico, 2008. "Noncooperative foundations of bargaining power in committees and the Shapley-Shubik index," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 341-353, May.
    14. Thomas M. Humphrey, 1996. "The early history of the box diagram," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Win, pages 37-75.
    15. Omer F. Baris, 2018. "Timing effect in bargaining and ex ante efficiency of the relative utilitarian solution," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 84(4), pages 547-556, June.
    16. Izat B. Baybusinov & Enrico Maria Fenoaltea & Yi-Cheng Zhang, 2022. "Negotiation problem," Papers 2201.12619, arXiv.org.
    17. Bergantiños, Gustavo & Moreno-Ternero, Juan D., 2022. "Monotonicity in sharing the revenues from broadcasting sports leagues," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(1), pages 338-346.
    18. Yoshihara, Naoki, 2003. "Characterizations of bargaining solutions in production economies with unequal skills," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 256-285, February.
    19. Yan, Ruiliang & Wang, John & Zhou, Bin, 2010. "Channel integration and profit sharing in the dynamics of multi-channel firms," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 430-440.
    20. S. S. Askar & A. Al-khedhairi, 2019. "Analysis of a Four-Firm Competition Based on a Generalized Bounded Rationality and Different Mechanisms," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-12, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03140-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.