IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v31y2017i1d10.1007_s11269-016-1515-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Dynamic Control Bound of Flood Limited Water Level Considering Capacity Compensation Regulation and Flood Spatial Pattern Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Qiao-feng Tan

    (Sichuan University)

  • Xu Wang

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Pan Liu

    (Wuhan University)

  • Xiao-hui Lei

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Si-yu Cai

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Hao Wang

    (China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research)

  • Yi Ji

    (Beijing University of Technology)

Abstract

The dynamic control bound of flood limited water level (FLWL) is a fundamental and key element for implementing reservoir FLWL dynamic control. Due to the uncertainty of the inflow and the dimensional increase of the reservoirs, the calculation of the dynamic control bound of FLWL becomes more and more complicated. A new model that considers capacity compensation regulation and the uncertainty of flood spatial pattern (FSP) for a serial multipurpose reservoir system is developed to calculate the dynamic control bound of FLWL. This model consists of three modules: a compensation regulation module to analyze the feasibility to raise the FLWL and calculate the probable maximum upper bound of the FLWL, a risk control module containing a risk constraint to control flood risk and a Copula function to describe the uncertainty of the FSP, and a simulation operation module to simulate the flood control operation for cascade reservoirs. The proposed model was applied to Pankou-Huanglongtan cascade reservoirs in Du River basin. The application results showed that: 1) the proposed model could give a sufficient consideration about the uncertainty of the FSP, thus a safe and reasonable dynamic control bound of FLWL was derived. 2) the upper FLWL of Huanglongtan reservoir could rise up to 247.64 m from 247.00 m without increasing flood control risk and Huanglongtan reservoir could generate 9 and 7 billion kW.h extra hydropower energy during flood season in wet year 2000 and in dry year 1994, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiao-feng Tan & Xu Wang & Pan Liu & Xiao-hui Lei & Si-yu Cai & Hao Wang & Yi Ji, 2017. "The Dynamic Control Bound of Flood Limited Water Level Considering Capacity Compensation Regulation and Flood Spatial Pattern Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 143-158, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1515-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1515-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-016-1515-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-016-1515-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juran Ahmed & Arup Sarma, 2005. "Genetic Algorithm for Optimal Operating Policy of a Multipurpose Reservoir," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(2), pages 145-161, April.
    2. Long Ngo & Henrik Madsen & Dan Rosbjerg & Claus Pedersen, 2008. "Implementation and Comparison of Reservoir Operation Strategies for the Hoa Binh Reservoir, Vietnam using the Mike 11 Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(4), pages 457-472, April.
    3. Hyung-Il Eum & Slobodan Simonovic, 2010. "Integrated Reservoir Management System for Adaptation to Climate Change: The Nakdong River Basin in Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(13), pages 3397-3417, October.
    4. Leila Ostadrahimi & Miguel Mariño & Abbas Afshar, 2012. "Multi-reservoir Operation Rules: Multi-swarm PSO-based Optimization Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(2), pages 407-427, January.
    5. Jionghong Chen & Shenglian Guo & Yu Li & Pan Liu & Yanlai Zhou, 2013. "Joint Operation and Dynamic Control of Flood Limiting Water Levels for Cascade Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(3), pages 749-763, February.
    6. M. Reddy & Poulomi Ganguli, 2012. "Bivariate Flood Frequency Analysis of Upper Godavari River Flows Using Archimedean Copulas," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 3995-4018, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Qiao-feng Tan & Guo-hua Fang & Xin Wen & Xiao-hui Lei & Xu Wang & Chao Wang & Yi Ji, 2020. "Bayesian Stochastic Dynamic Programming for Hydropower Generation Operation Based on Copula Functions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(5), pages 1589-1607, March.
    2. Lihua Chen & Jing Yu & Jin Teng & Hang Chen & Xiang Teng & Xuefang Li, 2022. "Optimizing Joint Flood Control Operating Charts for Multi–reservoir System Based on Multi–group Piecewise Linear Function," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(9), pages 3305-3325, July.
    3. Xiaoying Li & Yan Zhang & Zechun Tong & Guo-Yue Niu, 2022. "Reservoir Flood Season Segmentation and Risk–benefit Cooperative Decision of Staged Flood Limited Water Level," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3463-3479, August.
    4. Yanbin Li & Yubo Li & Kai Feng & Kaiyuan Tian & Tongxuan Huang, 2023. "Dynamic Control of Flood Limited Water Levels for Parallel Reservoirs by Considering Forecast Period Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-22, December.
    5. Di Zhu & Hua Chen & Yanlai Zhou & Yadong Mei & Xinfa Xu & Shenglian Guo, 2022. "A Triple-stage Operation Method for Deriving Operation Rules for Cascade Reservoirs during Catastrophic Flood Events," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 4863-4883, October.
    6. Di Zhu & Yadong Mei & Xinfa Xu & Zhangjun Liu & Zhenhui Wu & Hao Cai, 2021. "Optimal Operation of a Parallel Multireservoir System for Flood Control using a Stagewise Compensation Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1689-1710, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shuo Ouyang & Jianzhong Zhou & Chunlong Li & Xiang Liao & Hao Wang, 2015. "Optimal Design for Flood Limit Water Level of Cascade Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 445-457, January.
    2. Amir Hatamkhani & Ali Moridi, 2019. "Multi-Objective Optimization of Hydropower and Agricultural Development at River Basin Scale," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(13), pages 4431-4450, October.
    3. Gökçen Uysal & Aynur Şensoy & A. Arda Şorman & Türker Akgün & Tolga Gezgin, 2016. "Basin/Reservoir System Integration for Real Time Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1653-1668, March.
    4. Md. Hossain & A. El-shafie, 2013. "Intelligent Systems in Optimizing Reservoir Operation Policy: A Review," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3387-3407, July.
    5. Gökçen Uysal & Aynur Şensoy & A. Şorman & Türker Akgün & Tolga Gezgin, 2016. "Basin/Reservoir System Integration for Real Time Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(5), pages 1653-1668, March.
    6. Sabah Fayaed & Ahmed El-Shafie & Othman Jaafar, 2013. "Integrated Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) Model for Optimal Release Policy," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3679-3696, August.
    7. James Charalambous & Ataur Rahman & Don Carroll, 2013. "Application of Monte Carlo Simulation Technique to Design Flood Estimation: A Case Study for North Johnstone River in Queensland, Australia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 4099-4111, September.
    8. Ziqiang Xing & Denghua Yan & Cheng Zhang & Gang Wang & Dongdong Zhang, 2015. "Spatial Characterization and Bivariate Frequency Analysis of Precipitation and Runoff in the Upper Huai River Basin, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3291-3304, July.
    9. T. Fowe & I. Nouiri & B. Ibrahim & H. Karambiri & J. Paturel, 2015. "OPTIWAM: An Intelligent Tool for Optimizing Irrigation Water Management in Coupled Reservoir–Groundwater Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3841-3861, August.
    10. Chunlong Li & Jianzhong Zhou & Shuo Ouyang & Chao Wang & Yi Liu, 2015. "Water Resources Optimal Allocation Based on Large-scale Reservoirs in the Upper Reaches of Yangtze River," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2171-2187, May.
    11. Rongqi Zhang & Shanghong Zhang & Xiaoxiong Wen & Zhu Jing, 2023. "Refined Scheduling Based on Dynamic Capacity Model for Short-term Hydropower Generation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(1), pages 21-35, January.
    12. Yong Peng & Anbang Peng & Xiaoli Zhang & Huicheng Zhou & Lin Zhang & Wenzhong Wang & Zixin Zhang, 2017. "Multi-Core Parallel Particle Swarm Optimization for the Operation of Inter-Basin Water Transfer-Supply Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 27-41, January.
    13. Fang-Fang Li & Jia-Hua Wei & Xu-Dong Fu & Xin-Yu Wan, 2012. "An Effective Approach to Long-Term Optimal Operation of Large-Scale Reservoir Systems: Case Study of the Three Gorges System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4073-4090, November.
    14. Tao Bai & Lianzhou Wu & Jian-xia Chang & Qiang Huang, 2015. "Multi-Objective Optimal Operation Model of Cascade Reservoirs and Its Application on Water and Sediment Regulation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2751-2770, June.
    15. K. Ramakrishnan & C. Suribabu & T. Neelakantan, 2010. "Crop Calendar Adjustment Study for Sathanur Irrigation System in India Using Genetic Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(14), pages 3835-3851, November.
    16. Zitong Yang & Xianfeng Huang & Jiao Liu & Guohua Fang, 2021. "Optimal Operation of Floodwater Resources Utilization of Lakes in South-to-North Water Transfer Eastern Route Project," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, April.
    17. Yi Liu & Zhiqiang Jiang & Zhongkai Feng & Yuyun Chen & Hairong Zhang & Ping Chen, 2019. "Optimization of Energy Storage Operation Chart of Cascade Reservoirs with Multi-Year Regulating Reservoir," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-20, October.
    18. Lisicki, Michal & Lubitz, William & Taylor, Graham W., 2016. "Optimal design and operation of Archimedes screw turbines using Bayesian optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1404-1417.
    19. Wang Zhang & Pan Liu & Xizhen Chen & Li Wang & Xueshan Ai & Maoyuan Feng & Dedi Liu & Yuanyuan Liu, 2016. "Optimal Operation of Multi-reservoir Systems Considering Time-lags of Flood Routing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 523-540, January.
    20. Yong Peng & Jinggang Chu & Anbang Peng & Huicheng Zhou, 2015. "Optimization Operation Model Coupled with Improving Water-Transfer Rules and Hedging Rules for Inter-Basin Water Transfer-Supply Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3787-3806, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1515-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.