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Testing Wagner’s Law in an Oil-Exporting Economy: the Case of Azerbaijan

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  • Samad Bashirli
  • Ilkin Sabiroglu

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in Azerbaijan, including impact of oil prices. Applying time series econometrics, such as unit roots and bounds testing approaches, and autoregressive distributed lag techniques the analysis in this study is based on quarterly data during the period from 2001 to 2010. The results of the research support the validity of Wagner’s hypothesis in the oil-exporting economy and the existence of both long and short run causality among the cointegrated variables. Copyright CEEUN 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Samad Bashirli & Ilkin Sabiroglu, 2013. "Testing Wagner’s Law in an Oil-Exporting Economy: the Case of Azerbaijan," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 20(3), pages 295-307, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:trstrv:v:20:y:2013:i:3:p:295-307
    DOI: 10.1007/s11300-013-0292-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Jeyhun A. Abbasov & Khatai Aliyev, 2018. "Testing Wagner's Law and Keynesian Hypothesis in Selected Post-Soviet Countries," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 66(5), pages 1227-1237.
    2. Khatai Aliyev & Orkhan Nadirov, 2016. "How Fiscal Policy Affects Non-Oil Economic Performance in Azerbaijan?," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(3), pages 11-29, September.
    3. Khatai Aliyev & Ilkin Gasimov, 2018. "Fiscal policy implementation in Azerbaijan before, during and after the oil boom," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(1), March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wagner’s law; Oil prices; Bounds test; Causality test; Azerbaijan; C22; E12; E62; H50; O23;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

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