IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/testjl/v26y2017i2d10.1007_s11749-016-0513-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix

Author

Listed:
  • Pedro Galeano

    (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)

  • Dominik Wied

    (University of Cologne
    Fakultät Statistik)

Abstract

A nonparametric procedure for detecting and dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix of sequences of random variables is proposed. The procedure is based on a recently proposed test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. Although the procedure requires constant expectations and variances, only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure are assumed. The convergence rate of the change point estimators is derived and the asymptotic validity of the procedure is proved. Moreover, the performance of the proposed algorithm in finite samples is illustrated by means of a simulation study and the analysis of a real data example with financial returns. These examples show that the algorithm has large power in finite samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro Galeano & Dominik Wied, 2017. "Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 331-352, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:26:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s11749-016-0513-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11749-016-0513-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11749-016-0513-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11749-016-0513-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pedro Galeano & Ruey S. Tsay, 2010. "Shifts in Individual Parameters of a GARCH Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(1), pages 122-153, Winter.
    2. Davidson, James, 1994. "Stochastic Limit Theory: An Introduction for Econometricians," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774037.
    3. De Gooijer, Jan G., 2006. "Detecting change-points in multidimensional stochastic processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 1892-1903, December.
    4. Alexander Aue & Lajos Horváth, 2013. "Structural breaks in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 1-16, January.
    5. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2002. "Detecting multiple breaks in financial market volatility dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 579-600.
    6. Calhoun, Gray, 2014. "Block Bootstrap Consistency Under Weak Assumptions," Staff General Research Papers Archive 34313, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    7. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    8. Hawkins, Douglas M., 2001. "Fitting multiple change-point models to data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 323-341, September.
    9. Bai, Jushan, 1997. "Estimating Multiple Breaks One at a Time," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 315-352, June.
    10. Galeano, Pedro & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "Multiple break detection in the correlation structure of random variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 262-282.
    11. P. Fryzlewicz & S. Subba Rao, 2014. "Multiple-change-point detection for auto-regressive conditional heteroscedastic processes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(5), pages 903-924, November.
    12. Wied, Dominik & Krämer, Walter & Dehling, Herold, 2012. "Testing For A Change In Correlation At An Unknown Point In Time Using An Extended Functional Delta Method," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(3), pages 570-589, June.
    13. Galeano, Pedro, 2007. "The use of cumulative sums for detection of changepoints in the rate parameter of a Poisson Process," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(12), pages 6151-6165, August.
    14. Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2015. "Testing for structural breaks in correlations: Does it improve Value-at-Risk forecasting?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 135-152.
    15. Venkata Jandhyala & Stergios Fotopoulos & Ian MacNeill & Pengyu Liu, 2013. "Inference for single and multiple change-points in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 423-446, July.
    16. Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2014. "Wild binary segmentation for multiple change-point detection," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57146, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Galeano, Pedro, 2004. "Variance changes detection in multivariate time series," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws041305, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    18. Carrasco, Marine & Chen, Xiaohong, 2002. "Mixing And Moment Properties Of Various Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 17-39, February.
    19. Guang Cheng, 2015. "Moment Consistency of the Exchangeably Weighted Bootstrap for Semiparametric M-estimation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(3), pages 665-684, September.
    20. Dominik Wied, 2017. "A nonparametric test for a constant correlation matrix," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1157-1172, November.
    21. Ploberger, Werner & Kramer, Walter & Kontrus, Karl, 1989. "A new test for structural stability in the linear regression model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 307-318, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Peter N. Posch & Daniel Ullmann & Dominik Wied, 2019. "Detecting structural changes in large portfolios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1341-1357, April.
    2. Zifeng Zhao & Feiyu Jiang & Xiaofeng Shao, 2022. "Segmenting time series via self‐normalisation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(5), pages 1699-1725, November.
    3. Dominik Wied, 2017. "A nonparametric test for a constant correlation matrix," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1157-1172, November.
    4. Fang Duan & Dominik Wied, 2018. "A residual-based multivariate constant correlation test," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 653-687, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Galeano, Pedro & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "Multiple break detection in the correlation structure of random variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 262-282.
    2. Dominik Wied & Matthias Arnold & Nicolai Bissantz & Daniel Ziggel, 2012. "A new fluctuation test for constant variances with applications to finance," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 75(8), pages 1111-1127, November.
    3. Hong, Yongmiao & Linton, Oliver & McCabe, Brendan & Sun, Jiajing & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "Kolmogorov–Smirnov type testing for structural breaks: A new adjusted-range based self-normalization approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    4. Cho, Haeran & Kirch, Claudia, 2024. "Data segmentation algorithms: Univariate mean change and beyond," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 76-95.
    5. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory & Zhao, Yuqian, 2022. "Change point analysis of covariance functions: A weighted cumulative sum approach," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    6. Sylvia Gottschalk, 2023. "From Black Wednesday to Brexit: Macroeconomic shocks and correlations of equity returns in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2843-2873, July.
    7. Venkata Jandhyala & Stergios Fotopoulos & Ian MacNeill & Pengyu Liu, 2013. "Inference for single and multiple change-points in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 423-446, July.
    8. Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2021. "A self-normalization break test for correlation matrix," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2333-2353, October.
    9. Kleiber, Christian, 2016. "Structural Change in (Economic) Time Series," Working papers 2016/06, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    10. Alaa Abi Morshed & Elena Andreou & Otilia Boldea, 2018. "Structural Break Tests Robust to Regression Misspecification," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-39, May.
    11. Bücher, Axel & Jäschke, Stefan & Wied, Dominik, 2015. "Nonparametric tests for constant tail dependence with an application to energy and finance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 154-168.
    12. Marco Barassi & Lajos Horváth & Yuqian Zhao, 2020. "Change‐Point Detection in the Conditional Correlation Structure of Multivariate Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 340-349, April.
    13. Wied, Dominik & Dehling, Herold & van Kampen, Maarten & Vogel, Daniel, 2014. "A fluctuation test for constant Spearman’s rho with nuisance-free limit distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 723-736.
    14. Kim, Moosup & Lee, Taewook & Noh, Jungsik & Baek, Changryong, 2014. "Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation for multiple volatility shifts," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 50-60.
    15. Holger Dette & Dominik Wied, 2016. "Detecting relevant changes in time series models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(2), pages 371-394, March.
    16. Zifeng Zhao & Feiyu Jiang & Xiaofeng Shao, 2022. "Segmenting time series via self‐normalisation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(5), pages 1699-1725, November.
    17. Shi, Xuesheng & Gallagher, Colin & Lund, Robert & Killick, Rebecca, 2022. "A comparison of single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    18. Adams, Zeno & Füss, Roland & Glück, Thorsten, 2017. "Are correlations constant? Empirical and theoretical results on popular correlation models in finance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-24.
    19. Bouzebda, Salim & Ferfache, Anouar Abdeldjaoued, 2023. "Asymptotic properties of semiparametric M-estimators with multiple change points," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    20. repec:cte:wsrepe:ws131718 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Choi, Ji-Eun & Shin, Dong Wan, 2020. "A self-normalization test for correlation change," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:testjl:v:26:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s11749-016-0513-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.