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Bayesian propensity score analysis for clustered observational data

Author

Listed:
  • Qi Zhou

    (Xi’an Jiaotong University)

  • Catherine McNeal

    (Baylor Scott and White Health)

  • Laurel A. Copeland

    (Baylor Scott and White Health)

  • Justin P. Zachariah

    (Texas Children’s Hospital)

  • Joon Jin Song

    (Baylor University)

Abstract

Observational data with clustered structure may have confounding at one or more levels which when combined critically undermine result validity. We propose using multilevel models in Bayesian propensity score analysis to account for cluster and individual level confounding in the estimation of both propensity score and in turn treatment effect. In addition, our approach includes confounders in the outcome model for more flexibility to model outcome-covariate surface, minimizing the influence of feedback effect in Bayesian joint modeling of propensity score model and outcome model. In an extensive simulation study, we compare several propensity score analysis approaches with varying complexity of multilevel modeling structures. With each of proposed propensity score model, random intercept outcome model augmented with covariates adjustment well maintains the property of propensity score as balancing score and outperforms single level outcome model. To illustrate the proposed models, a case study is considered, which investigates the impact of lipid screening on lipid management in youth from three different health care systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Qi Zhou & Catherine McNeal & Laurel A. Copeland & Justin P. Zachariah & Joon Jin Song, 2020. "Bayesian propensity score analysis for clustered observational data," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 29(2), pages 335-355, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:29:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s10260-019-00484-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10260-019-00484-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Kaplan & Jianshen Chen, 2012. "A Two-Step Bayesian Approach for Propensity Score Analysis: Simulations and Case Study," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 581-609, July.
    2. Alberto Abadie & Guido W. Imbens, 2016. "Matching on the Estimated Propensity Score," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 781-807, March.
    3. Arpino, Bruno & Mealli, Fabrizia, 2011. "The specification of the propensity score in multilevel observational studies," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 1770-1780, April.
    4. David Kaplan & Jianshen Chen, 2012. "Erratum to: A Two-Step Bayesian Approach for Propensity Score Analysis: Simulations and Case Study," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 610-610, July.
    5. Corwin M. Zigler & Krista Watts & Robert W. Yeh & Yun Wang & Brent A. Coull & Francesca Dominici, 2013. "Model Feedback in Bayesian Propensity Score Estimation," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 263-273, March.
    6. Alberto Abadie & Guido W. Imbens, 2008. "On the Failure of the Bootstrap for Matching Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1537-1557, November.
    7. McCandless Lawrence C & Douglas Ian J. & Evans Stephen J. & Smeeth Liam, 2010. "Cutting Feedback in Bayesian Regression Adjustment for the Propensity Score," The International Journal of Biostatistics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-24, March.
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