IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/stmapp/v26y2017i1d10.1007_s10260-016-0358-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Population size estimation and heterogeneity in capture–recapture data: a linear regression estimator based on the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution

Author

Listed:
  • Orasa Anan

    (University of Southampton)

  • Dankmar Böhning

    (University of Southampton)

  • Antonello Maruotti

    (Libera Universitá Maria Ss. Assunta
    University of Southampton)

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to estimate the population size under a truncated count model that accounts for heterogeneity. The proposed estimator is based on the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution. The benefit of using the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution is that it includes the Bernoulli, the Geometric and the Poisson distributions as special cases and, furthermore, allows for heterogeneity. Parameter estimates can be obtained by exploiting the ratios of successive frequency counts in a weighted linear regression framework. The results of the comparisons with Turing’s, the maximum likelihood Poisson, Zelterman’s and Chao’s estimators reveal that our proposal can be beneficially used. Furthermore, our proposal outperforms its competitors under all heterogeneous settings. The empirical examples consider the homogeneous case and several heterogeneous cases, each with its own features, and provide interesting insights on the behavior of the estimators.

Suggested Citation

  • Orasa Anan & Dankmar Böhning & Antonello Maruotti, 2017. "Population size estimation and heterogeneity in capture–recapture data: a linear regression estimator based on the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 26(1), pages 49-79, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:26:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10260-016-0358-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10260-016-0358-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10260-016-0358-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10260-016-0358-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mao, Chang Xuan & Lindsay, Bruce G., 2003. "Tests and diagnostics for heterogeneity in the species problem," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 389-398, January.
    2. Robert M. Dorazio & J. Andrew Royle, 2003. "Mixture Models for Estimating the Size of a Closed Population When Capture Rates Vary among Individuals," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 351-364, June.
    3. Baksh, M. Fazil & Böhning, Dankmar & Lerdsuwansri, Rattana, 2011. "An extension of an over-dispersion test for count data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 466-474, January.
    4. Lanumteang, K. & Böhning, D., 2011. "An extension of Chao's estimator of population size based on the first three capture frequency counts," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 2302-2311, July.
    5. William A. Link, 2003. "Nonidentifiability of Population Size from Capture-Recapture Data with Heterogeneous Detection Probabilities," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(4), pages 1123-1130, December.
    6. Chun-Huo Chiu & Yi-Ting Wang & Bruno A. Walther & Anne Chao, 2014. "An improved nonparametric lower bound of species richness via a modified good–turing frequency formula," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 70(3), pages 671-682, September.
    7. Bartolucci, Francesco & Forcina, Antonio, 2006. "A Class of Latent Marginal Models for CaptureRecapture Data With Continuous Covariates," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 786-794, June.
    8. Galit Shmueli & Thomas P. Minka & Joseph B. Kadane & Sharad Borle & Peter Boatwright, 2005. "A useful distribution for fitting discrete data: revival of the Conway–Maxwell–Poisson distribution," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(1), pages 127-142, January.
    9. Shirley Pledger, 2005. "The Performance of Mixture Models in Heterogeneous Closed Population Capture–Recapture," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 61(3), pages 868-873, September.
    10. B. J. T. Morgan & M. S. Ridout, 2008. "A new mixture model for capture heterogeneity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 57(4), pages 433-446, September.
    11. Sa-aat Niwitpong & Dankmar Böhning & Peter Heijden & Heinz Holling, 2013. "Capture–recapture estimation based upon the geometric distribution allowing for heterogeneity," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 76(4), pages 495-519, May.
    12. Danilo Fegatelli & Luca Tardella, 2013. "Improved inference on capture recapture models with behavioural effects," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 22(1), pages 45-66, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mark E. Piatek & Dankmar Böhning, 2024. "Deriving a zero-truncated modelling methodology to analyse capture–recapture data from self-reported social networks," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 82(2), pages 135-160, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alessio Farcomeni, 2015. "Latent class recapture models with flexible behavioural response," Statistica, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna, vol. 75(1), pages 5-17.
    2. Hannah Worthington & Rachel S. McCrea & Ruth King & Richard A. Griffiths, 2019. "Estimation of Population Size When Capture Probability Depends on Individual States," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(1), pages 154-172, March.
    3. Hajo Holzmann & Axel Munk & Walter Zucchini, 2006. "On Identifiability in Capture–Recapture Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 62(3), pages 934-936, September.
    4. B. J. T. Morgan & M. S. Ridout, 2008. "A new mixture model for capture heterogeneity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 57(4), pages 433-446, September.
    5. Robert M. Dorazio & J. Andrew Royle, 2005. "Rejoinder to "The Performance of Mixture Models in Heterogeneous Closed Population Capture-Recapture"," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 61(3), pages 874-876, September.
    6. Shirley Pledger & Kenneth H. Pollock & James L. Norris, 2010. "Open Capture–Recapture Models with Heterogeneity: II. Jolly–Seber Model," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 66(3), pages 883-890, September.
    7. Chang Xuan Mao & Na You, 2009. "On Comparison of Mixture Models for Closed Population Capture–Recapture Studies," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 65(2), pages 547-553, June.
    8. Louis-Paul Rivest & Sophie Baillargeon, 2007. "Applications and Extensions of Chao's Moment Estimator for the Size of a Closed Population," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 63(4), pages 999-1006, December.
    9. Marco Alfò & Dankmar Böhning & Irene Rocchetti, 2021. "Upper bound estimators of the population size based on ordinal models for capture‐recapture experiments," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 77(1), pages 237-248, March.
    10. Danilo Alunni Fegatelli & Luca Tardella, 2016. "Flexible behavioral capture–recapture modeling," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 72(1), pages 125-135, March.
    11. Richard Arnold & Yu Hayakawa & Paul Yip, 2010. "Capture–Recapture Estimation Using Finite Mixtures of Arbitrary Dimension," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 66(2), pages 644-655, June.
    12. Yang Liu & Rong Kuang & Guanfu Liu, 2024. "Penalized likelihood inference for the finite mixture of Poisson distributions from capture-recapture data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2751-2773, July.
    13. J. Andrew Royle, 2009. "Analysis of Capture–Recapture Models with Individual Covariates Using Data Augmentation," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 65(1), pages 267-274, March.
    14. Farcomeni, Alessio & Dotto, Francesco, 2021. "A correction to make Chao estimator conservative when the number of sampling occasions is finite," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    15. Robert M. Dorazio & Bhramar Mukherjee & Li Zhang & Malay Ghosh & Howard L. Jelks & Frank Jordan, 2008. "Modeling Unobserved Sources of Heterogeneity in Animal Abundance Using a Dirichlet Process Prior," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 635-644, June.
    16. Danilo Fegatelli & Luca Tardella, 2013. "Improved inference on capture recapture models with behavioural effects," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 22(1), pages 45-66, March.
    17. Francesco Bartolucci & Monia Lupparelli, 2008. "Focused Information Criterion for Capture–Recapture Models for Closed Populations," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 35(4), pages 629-649, December.
    18. Riki Herliansyah & Ruth King & Stuart King, 2022. "Laplace Approximations for Capture–Recapture Models in the Presence of Individual Heterogeneity," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(3), pages 401-418, September.
    19. Thandrayen, Joanne & Wang, Yan, 2009. "A latent variable regression model for capture-recapture data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(7), pages 2740-2746, May.
    20. Jakub Stoklosa & Wen-Han Hwang & Sheng-Hai Wu & Richard Huggins, 2011. "Heterogeneous Capture–Recapture Models with Covariates: A Partial Likelihood Approach for Closed Populations," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(4), pages 1659-1665, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:stmapp:v:26:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10260-016-0358-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.