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Do agri-food market incentives improve food security and nutrition indicators? a microsimulation evaluation for Kenya

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  • María Priscila Ramos

    (Universidad de Buenos Aires
    Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et d’Information Internationale (CEPII))

  • Estefanía Custodio

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)
    Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Centro Nacional de Medicina Tropical)

  • Sofía Jiménez

    (Universidad de Zaragoza)

  • Alfredo J. Mainar-Causapé

    (Universidad de Sevilla)

  • Pierre Boulanger

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

  • Emanuele Ferrari

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

Abstract

The sustainable development goal #2 aims at ending hunger and malnutrition by 2030. Given the numbers of food insecure and malnourished people on the rise, the heterogeneity of nutritional statuses and needs, and the even worse context of COVID-19 pandemic, this has become an urgent challenge for food-related policies. This paper provides a comprehensive microsimulation approach to evaluate economic policies on food access, sufficiency (energy) and adequacy (protein, fat, carbohydrate) at household level. The improvement in market access conditions in Kenya is simulated as an application case of this method, using original insights from households’ surveys and biochemical and nutritional information by food item. Simulation’s results suggest that improving market access increases food purchasing power overall the country, with a pro-poor impact in rural areas. The daily energy consumption per capita and macronutrients intakes per capita increase at the national level, being the households with at least one stunted child under 5 years old, and poor households living areas outside Mombasa and Nairobi, those which benefit the most. The developed method and its Kenya's application contribute to the discussion on how to evaluate nutrition-sensitive policies, and how to cover most households suffering food insecurity and nutrition deficiencies in any given country.

Suggested Citation

  • María Priscila Ramos & Estefanía Custodio & Sofía Jiménez & Alfredo J. Mainar-Causapé & Pierre Boulanger & Emanuele Ferrari, 2022. "Do agri-food market incentives improve food security and nutrition indicators? a microsimulation evaluation for Kenya," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 14(1), pages 209-227, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssefpa:v:14:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s12571-021-01215-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s12571-021-01215-2
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