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Relation of Uncertainty in Fluctuations of Energy Commodity Demand and Prices to Forecasting Timeframe

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  • O. V. Mazurova

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Several Russian and foreign forecasts of energy industry development have been analyzed that were made in various years for up to 20–25 years. The extent and type of temporal variations in uncertainty ranges of forecast indexes in Russia and worldwide have been studied. The indexes include fluctuations of energy commodity prices, electricity and fuel production and consumption, etc. The calculated data have been given. The relations of uncertainty ranges of different indexes to the change in the considered timeframe have been constructed.

Suggested Citation

  • O. V. Mazurova, 2018. "Relation of Uncertainty in Fluctuations of Energy Commodity Demand and Prices to Forecasting Timeframe," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 161-166, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:29:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1134_s1075700718020090
    DOI: 10.1134/S1075700718020090
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. D. Yu. Kononov & Yu. D. Kononov, 2016. "Rational aggregation of territory in long-term forecasting of energy prices," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(6), pages 649-655, November.
    2. V. V. Kossov, 2016. "The rationale for projected prices of demand on electricity for industry in Russia up to 2020," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 34-44, January.
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