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Rational aggregation of territory in long-term forecasting of energy prices

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Listed:
  • D. Yu. Kononov

    (Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Science)

  • Yu. D. Kononov

    (Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Science)

Abstract

A phased approach to the rational aggregation of territory and objects with respect to the solved problem and controversy of the initial data has been considered in the article using the example of forecasting energy prices in Russia’s macroregions. The results of an estimate of the influence of regional specifics and nature of uncertainty of used information on the probable inaccuracy of forecasts and aggregation errors.

Suggested Citation

  • D. Yu. Kononov & Yu. D. Kononov, 2016. "Rational aggregation of territory in long-term forecasting of energy prices," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(6), pages 649-655, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:27:y:2016:i:6:d:10.1134_s107570071606006x
    DOI: 10.1134/S107570071606006X
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    Cited by:

    1. O. V. Mazurova, 2018. "Relation of Uncertainty in Fluctuations of Energy Commodity Demand and Prices to Forecasting Timeframe," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 161-166, March.
    2. Yu. D. Kononov, 2021. "Assessment and Factoring in of the Economic Component of Energy Security in Projection Studies of the Energy Sector," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 155-159, March.
    3. Yu. D. Kononov & D. Yu. Kononov, 2018. "Analytical Methods for Forecasting Development in the Electric Power Industry," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 527-532, September.
    4. Ivan A. Kapitonov & Vladimir I. Voloshin & Vitaly G. Korolev, 2019. "Energy Security of Territories as a Factor of Sustainable Development under the Conditions of Economic Changes," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 210-221.
    5. Ivan A. Kapitonov, 2021. "Development of low-carbon economy as the base of sustainable improvement of energy security," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 3077-3096, March.

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