IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/snopef/v5y2024i4d10.1007_s43069-024-00365-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling International Tourist Arrivals: An NLP Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Archana Yadav

    (Indian Institute of Science Education and Research)

  • Biswajit Patra

    (Indian Institute of Science Education and Research)

  • Tanmay Basu

    (Indian Institute of Science Education and Research)

Abstract

This paper develops a novel regression framework to estimate international tourist arrivals in 37 countries from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries by combining significant socio-economic-environment features and a natural language processing (NLP) based social media index. The index is developed by fine-tuning a pre-trained BERT model using the reviews of different countries collected from TripAdvisor to generate a tourist feedback score, which is used as an additional feature with the other OECD features for tourism arrival estimation using an adaptive boosting regression technique. The outcomes demonstrate that the proposed framework performs reasonably well than other relevant regression techniques. The findings of this study can be utilized to make decisions that support the growth of sustainable tourism.

Suggested Citation

  • Archana Yadav & Biswajit Patra & Tanmay Basu, 2024. "Modeling International Tourist Arrivals: An NLP Perspective," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:snopef:v:5:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s43069-024-00365-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s43069-024-00365-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s43069-024-00365-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s43069-024-00365-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Konstantakopoulou, Ioanna, 2022. "Does health quality affect tourism? Evidence from system GMM estimates," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 425-440.
    2. Cécile Maunier & Christèle Camelis, 2013. "Toward an identification of elements contributing to satisfaction with the tourism experience," Post-Print hal-01243421, HAL.
    3. Filieri, Raffaele & Alguezaui, Salma & McLeay, Fraser, 2015. "Why do travelers trust TripAdvisor? Antecedents of trust towards consumer-generated media and its influence on recommendation adoption and word of mouth," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 174-185.
    4. Zapp, Mike, 2017. "The World Bank and Education: Governing (through) knowledge," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-11.
    5. Anastasia Arabadzhyan & Paolo Figini & Carmen García & Matías M. González & Yen E. Lam-González & Carmelo J. León, 2021. "Climate change, coastal tourism, and impact chains – a literature review," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(16), pages 2233-2268, August.
    6. Eunil Park & Jiwon Kang & Daejin Choi & Jinyoung Han, 2020. "Understanding customers' hotel revisiting behaviour: a sentiment analysis of online feedback reviews," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(5), pages 605-611, March.
    7. Zhao, Xue & Xie, Chengyuan & Huang, Lu & Wang, Yaru & Han, Tongyun, 2023. "How digitalization promotes the sustainable integration of culture and tourism for economic recovery," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 988-1000.
    8. Cristina Franciele & Thays Christina Domareski Ruiz, 2021. "Using sentiment analysis in tourism research: A systematic, bibliometric, and integrative review," Post-Print hal-03373984, HAL.
    9. Tisdell, C., 1987. "Tourism, The Environment and Profit," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 13-30.
    10. Katerina Volchek & Anyu Liu & Haiyan Song & Dimitrios Buhalis, 2019. "Forecasting tourist arrivals at attractions: Search engine empowered methodologies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 425-447, May.
    11. Michela Fazzolari & Marinella Petrocchi, 2018. "A study on online travel reviews through intelligent data analysis," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 37-58, December.
    12. Yair Eilat & Liran Einav, 2004. "Determinants of international tourism: a three-dimensional panel data analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(12), pages 1315-1327.
    13. Manosso, Franciele Cristina & Domareski Ruiz, Thays Cristina, 2021. "Using sentiment analysis in tourism research: A systematic, bibliometric, and integrative review," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 7, pages 16-27.
    14. María Santana-Gallego & Francisco J. Ledesma-Rodríguez & Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez, 2010. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(1), pages 25-43, March.
    15. Haroon Rasool & Shafat Maqbool & Md. Tarique, 2021. "The relationship between tourism and economic growth among BRICS countries: a panel cointegration analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fourie, Johan & Santana-Gallego, María, 2011. "The impact of mega-sport events on tourist arrivals," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1364-1370.
    2. De Vita, Glauco, 2014. "The long-run impact of exchange rate regimes on international tourism flows," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 226-233.
    3. Morley, Clive & Rosselló, Jaume & Santana-Gallego, Maria, 2014. "Gravity models for tourism demand: theory and use," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-10.
    4. Mukesh Kumar & Sanjeev Prashar & RK Jana, 2019. "Does international tourism spur international trade and output? Evidence from wavelet analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 22-33, February.
    5. Edmond H. C. Wu & Jihao Hu & Rui Chen, 2022. "Monitoring and forecasting COVID-19 impacts on hotel occupancy rates with daily visitor arrivals and search queries," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 490-507, February.
    6. Akhil Sharma & Tarun Vashishat & Abdul Rishad, 2019. "The consequences of exchange rate trends on international tourism demand: evidence from India," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 21(2), pages 270-287, December.
    7. Xinxin Guo & Juho Pesonen & Raija Komppula, 2021. "Comparing online travel review platforms as destination image information agents," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 159-187, June.
    8. Ogechi Adeola & Nathaniel Boso & Olaniyi Evans, 2018. "Drivers of international tourism demand in Africa," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 25-36, January.
    9. Pedro Pintassilgo & Jaume Rosselló & Maria Santana-Gallego & Elisabeth Valle, 2016. "The economic dimension of climate change impacts on tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(4), pages 685-698, August.
    10. Lizhi Xu & Shouyang Wang & Jingjing Li & Ling Tang & Yanmin Shao, 2019. "Modelling international tourism flows to China: A panel data analysis with the gravity model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(7), pages 1047-1069, November.
    11. Portella-Carbó, Ferran & Pérez-Montiel, Jose & Ozcelebi, Oguzhan, 2023. "Tourism-led economic growth across the business cycle: Evidence from Europe (1995–2021)," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1241-1253.
    12. Arpan Kumar Kar & Sunil Kumar & P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan, 2021. "Modelling the Service Experience Encounters Using User-Generated Content: A Text Mining Approach," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 22(4), pages 267-288, December.
    13. Muhammad Amin Hasan & Mr. Abdullah & Muhammad Arsalan Hashmi & Ali Sajid, 2022. "International Remittances and International Tourism Development in South Asia: The Moderating Role of Political Stability," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 177-187.
    14. María Santana-Gallego & Francisco Ledesma-Rodríguez & Jorge Pérez-Rodríguez, 2016. "The euro effect: Tourism creation, tourism diversion and tourism potential within the European Union," European Union Politics, , vol. 17(1), pages 46-68, March.
    15. Nuno Carlos LEITÃO & Muhammad SHAHBAZ, 2012. "Migration and Tourism Demand," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(567)), pages 39-48, February.
    16. Thomas Habanabakize & Lerato Mothibi, 2024. "The Implication of Political Risk and Specific Macroeconomic Variables on Total Revenue in Tourism Industry," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 170-177, May.
    17. Reto Bürgisser & Donato Di Carlo, 2023. "Blessing or Curse? The Rise of Tourism‐Led Growth in Europe's Southern Periphery," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 236-258, January.
    18. Ling Tang & Chengyuan Zhang & Tingfei Li & Ling Li, 2021. "A novel BEMD-based method for forecasting tourist volume with search engine data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1015-1038, August.
    19. Tavakoli, Rokhshad & Mura, Paolo, 2018. "Netnography in tourism – Beyond Web 2.0," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 190-192.
    20. Marrocu, Emanuela & Paci, Raffaele, 2013. "Different tourists to different destinations. Evidence from spatial interaction models," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 71-83.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:snopef:v:5:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s43069-024-00365-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.