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Consensus credit ratings: a view from banks

Author

Listed:
  • Ben Lourie

    (University of California)

  • N. Bugra Ozel

    (The University of Texas)

  • Alexander Nekrasov

    (University of Illinois)

  • Chenqi Zhu

    (University of California)

Abstract

While the production of credit ratings has long been limited mainly to rating agencies (CRAs), recent years have seen the growing popularity of consensus credit ratings crowdsourced from banks (i.e., bank ratings). We provide the first comprehensive examination of the properties and informativeness of bank ratings relative to CRA ratings. We find that bank ratings often deviate from CRA ratings, with over 60% of firm-months having different bank and CRA ratings. These deviations contain useful information. Bank ratings improve out-of-sample prediction of defaults and CRA rating revisions and explain the cross-section of credit spreads. However, bank ratings do not improve out-of-sample prediction of credit excess returns, indicating that current prices incorporate bank rating information. Overall our findings suggest that bank ratings are a useful supplement to traditional credit ratings.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Lourie & N. Bugra Ozel & Alexander Nekrasov & Chenqi Zhu, 2024. "Consensus credit ratings: a view from banks," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 2391-2436, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:reaccs:v:29:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s11142-024-09835-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09835-7
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank ratings; Credit agency ratings; Default; Credit spreads; Credit returns;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • M40 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - General

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