IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/operea/v20y2020i2d10.1007_s12351-017-0345-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Carbon price interaction between allocated permits and generated offsets

Author

Listed:
  • Jongmin Yu

    (Hongik University)

  • Mindy L. Mallory

    (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

Abstract

The Kyoto Protocol established targets for curbing greenhouse gas emissions in order to mitigate climate change, and it introduced two kinds of market-based mechanisms: the emission allowance market and the carbon offset market. We identify stylized features of the two mechanisms with a partial equilibrium model. Our work is the first to derive a closed form solution incorporating most policy instruments, such as abatement and offset usage, and delivery risks in offsets. We show that policy changes will impact one market directly and the other indirectly, generating unequal price responses that affects the spread between the two compliance instruments. We show how the price spread between allowances and offsets is affected by market conditions such as the offset import limit, abatement and offset cost, penalty rate, emission cap, and baseline emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Jongmin Yu & Mindy L. Mallory, 2020. "Carbon price interaction between allocated permits and generated offsets," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 671-700, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:operea:v:20:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s12351-017-0345-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s12351-017-0345-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12351-017-0345-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12351-017-0345-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Seifert, Jan & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Wagner, Michael, 2008. "Dynamic behavior of CO2 spot prices," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 180-194, September.
    2. Mansanet-Bataller, Maria & Chevallier, Julien & Hervé-Mignucci, Morgan & Alberola, Emilie, 2011. "EUA and sCER phase II price drivers: Unveiling the reasons for the existence of the EUA-sCER spread," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1056-1069, March.
    3. Pauline Barrieu & Max Fehr, 2014. "Market-Consistent Modeling for Cap-and-Trade Schemes and Application to Option Pricing," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 234-249, April.
    4. Cormier, Alain & Bellassen, Valentin, 2013. "The risks of CDM projects: How did only 30% of expected credits come through?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 173-183.
    5. Yu, Jongmin & Mallory, Mindy L., 2015. "An optimal hybrid emission control system in a multiple compliance period model," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 16-28.
    6. Hilary Sigman & Howard F. Chang, 2011. "The Effect of Allowing Pollution Offsets with Imperfect Enforcement," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 268-272, May.
    7. repec:wbk:wboper:13402 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Montero, Juan-Pablo, 2000. "Optimal design of a phase-in emissions trading program," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 273-291, February.
    9. Alexandre Kossoy & Pierre Guigon, "undated". "State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2012," World Bank Publications - Reports 13336, The World Bank Group.
    10. Julien Chevallier, 2011. "Anticipating correlations between EUAs and CERs: a Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(1), pages 255-272.
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5441 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Karan Capoor & Philippe Ambrosi, "undated". "State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2009," World Bank Publications - Reports 13403, The World Bank Group.
    13. Bushnell, James, 2011. "Adverse Selection and Emissions Offsets," Staff General Research Papers Archive 32736, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    14. Stranlund, John K. & Moffitt, L. Joe, 2014. "Enforcement and price controls in emissions trading," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 20-38.
    15. repec:wbk:wboper:13404 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Fatemeh Nazifi, 2010. "The price impacts of linking the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme to the Clean Development Mechanism," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 12(4), pages 164-186, December.
    17. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5109 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Karan Capoor & Philippe Ambrosi, "undated". "State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2008," World Bank Publications - Reports 13405, The World Bank Group.
    19. repec:wbk:wboper:13335 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Wen & Hao, Xinyu & Zhang, Xiaoling, 2024. "Climate policy interactions: Capturing game signals in carbon markets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Linghu, Dazhi & Wu, Xilin & Lai, Kee-Hung & Ye, Fei & Kumar, Ajay & Tan, Kim Hua, 2022. "Implementation strategy and emission reduction effectiveness of carbon cap-and-trade in heterogeneous enterprises," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hintermann, Beat & Peterson, Sonja & Rickels, Wilfried, 2014. "Price and market behavior in Phase II of the EU ETS," Kiel Working Papers 1962, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Jinshan Zhu & Hui Yao & Yingkai Tang & Liyong Wang, 2015. "An econometric analysis of sub-national Clean Development Mechanism performance in China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(7), pages 1137-1153, October.
    3. Cao, Guangxi & Xu, Wei, 2016. "Multifractal features of EUA and CER futures markets by using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis based on empirical model decomposition," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 212-222.
    4. Hayashi, Daisuke & Huenteler, Joern & Lewis, Joanna I., 2018. "Gone with the wind: A learning curve analysis of China's wind power industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 38-51.
    5. Knut Rosendahl & Jon Strand, 2015. "Emissions Trading with Offset Markets and Free Quota Allocations," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 61(2), pages 243-271, June.
    6. Chunguang Sheng & Guangyu Wang & Yude Geng & Lirong Chen, 2020. "The Correlation Analysis of Futures Pricing Mechanism in China’s Carbon Financial Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-20, September.
    7. Jinshan Zhu, 2014. "Assessing China's discriminative tax on Clean Development Mechanism projects. Does China's tax have so many functions?," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(3), pages 447-466, March.
    8. Tang, Bao-jun & Shen, Cheng & Gao, Chao, 2013. "The efficiency analysis of the European CO2 futures market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1544-1547.
    9. Wang, Xinyu & Sethi, Suresh P. & Chang, Shuhua, 2022. "Pollution abatement using cap-and-trade in a dynamic supply chain and its coordination," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    10. Hong, Jin & Guo, Xiumei & Marinova, Dora & Yang, Fengli & Yu, Wentao, 2013. "Clean development mechanism in China: Regional distribution and prospects," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 151-163.
    11. Jongmin Yu & Sejoong Lee, 2017. "The Impact of Greenhouse Gas Emissions on Corporate Social Responsibility in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-15, June.
    12. Antonio Bento & Ravi Kanbur & Benjamin Leard, 2016. "On the importance of baseline setting in carbon offsets markets," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 625-637, August.
    13. Koop, Gary & Tole, Lise, 2013. "Modeling the relationship between European carbon permits and certified emission reductions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 166-181.
    14. Stefan Schleicher & Claudia Kettner-Marx & Angela Köppl & Barbara Anzinger & Bernhard Cemper & Andreas Türk & Andreas Karner, 2011. "Analysis of Options to Move Beyond 20 Percent Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions. Background and Evaluation of Impact Documents," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 41607, March.
    15. Hieronymi, Philipp & Schüller, David, 2015. "The Clean-Development Mechanism, stochastic permit prices and energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 25-36.
    16. Federico Galán-Valdivieso & Elena Villar-Rubio & María-Dolores Huete-Morales, 2018. "The erratic behaviour of the EU ETS on the path towards consolidation and price stability," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 18(5), pages 689-706, October.
    17. Byun, Suk Joon & Cho, Hangjun, 2013. "Forecasting carbon futures volatility using GARCH models with energy volatilities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 207-221.
    18. Nazifi, Fatemeh, 2013. "Modelling the price spread between EUA and CER carbon prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 434-445.
    19. Vicente Medina & Angel Pardo & Roberto Pascual, 2013. "Carbon Credits: Who is the Leader of the Pack?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 210-220.
    20. Claudia Kettner-Marx & Daniela Kletzan-Slamanig & Angela Köppl, 2012. "The EU Emission Trading Scheme. National Allocation Patterns and Trading Flows," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 44139, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Carbon price spread; Emissions compliance market; Carbon offset market; Environmental regulation; Cap-and-trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:operea:v:20:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s12351-017-0345-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.