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Future climate change impact evaluation on hydrologic processes in the Bharalu and Basistha basins using SWAT model

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  • Angshuman M. Saharia

    (Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati)

  • Arup Kumar Sarma

    (Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati)

Abstract

Urbanisation and climate change can have adverse effects on the streamflow and water balance components in river basins. This study focuses on the understanding of different hydrologic responses to climate change between urban and rural basins. The comprehensive semi-distributed hydrologic model, SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), is used to evaluate how the streamflow and water balance components vary under future climate change on Bharalu (urban basin) and Basistha (rural basin) River basins near the Brahmaputra River in India based on precipitation, temperature and geospatial data. Based on data collected in 1990–2012, it is found that 98.78% of the water yield generated for the urban Bharalu River basin is by surface runoff, comparing to 75% of that for the rural Basistha basin. Comparison of various hydrologic processes (e.g. precipitation, discharge, water yield, surface runoff, actual evapotranspiration and potential evapotranspiration) based on predicted climate change scenarios is evaluated. The urban Bharalu basin shows a decrease in streamflow, water yield, surface runoff, actual evapotranspiration in contrast to the rural Basistha basin, for the 2050s and 2090s decades. The average annual discharge will increase a maximum 1.43 and 2.20 m3/s from the base period for representative concentration pathways (RCPs) such as 2.6 and 8.5 pathways in Basistha River and it will decrease a maximum 0.67 and 0.46 m3/s for Bharalu River, respectively. This paper also discusses the influence of sensitive parameters on hydrologic processes, future issues and challenges in the rural and urban basins.

Suggested Citation

  • Angshuman M. Saharia & Arup Kumar Sarma, 2018. "Future climate change impact evaluation on hydrologic processes in the Bharalu and Basistha basins using SWAT model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1463-1488, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3259-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3259-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Boini Narsimlu & Ashvin Gosain & Baghu Chahar, 2013. "Assessment of Future Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources of Upper Sind River Basin, India Using SWAT Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3647-3662, August.
    2. M. Monirul Qader Mirza, 2003. "Climate change and extreme weather events: can developing countries adapt?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 233-248, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Songphol Songsaengrit & Anongrit Kangrang, 2022. "Dynamic Rule Curves and Streamflow under Climate Change for Multipurpose Reservoir Operation Using Honey-Bee Mating Optimization," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Kotapati Narayana Loukika & Venkata Reddy Keesara & Eswar Sai Buri & Venkataramana Sridhar, 2022. "Predicting the Effects of Land Use Land Cover and Climate Change on Munneru River Basin Using CA-Markov and Soil and Water Assessment Tool," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, April.
    3. Meilin Wang & Yaqi Shao & Qun’ou Jiang & Ling Xiao & Haiming Yan & Xiaowei Gao & Lijun Wang & Peibin Liu, 2020. "Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activity on the Runoff Changes in the Guishui River Basin," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Swathi Vemula & K. Srinivasa Raju & S. Sai Veena & A. Santosh Kumar, 2019. "Urban floods in Hyderabad, India, under present and future rainfall scenarios: a case study," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(3), pages 637-655, February.

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