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Application of the FEMA-P58 methodology for regional earthquake loss prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Xiang Zeng

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Xinzheng Lu

    (Tsinghua University)

  • T. Y. Yang

    (International Joint Research Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering
    University of British Columbia)

  • Zhen Xu

    (University of Science and Technology Beijing)

Abstract

Earthquake-induced building collapses and casualties have been effectively controlled in the last two decades. However, earthquake-induced economic losses have continued to rise. Following the objective and procedure of next-generation performance-based seismic design, the economic loss prediction method proposed by FEMA-P58 is extended to regional earthquake loss prediction in this study. The engineering demand parameters for a large number of buildings within a region are efficiently obtained through nonlinear time history analysis using multi-story concentrated-mass shear models. The building data, including structural and nonstructural components, are obtained through field investigation, structural and architectural drawings, and default database published in the FEMA-P58 document. A case study of Tsinghua University campus in Beijing is performed to demonstrate the implementation and advantage using proposed FEMA-P58 method for regional earthquake loss prediction. The results show the advancement in loss simulation for a region, and in identifying the influence of the different ground motion characteristics (e.g., velocity pulse) on the regional loss.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiang Zeng & Xinzheng Lu & T. Y. Yang & Zhen Xu, 2016. "Application of the FEMA-P58 methodology for regional earthquake loss prediction," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(1), pages 177-192, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:83:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2307-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2307-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhen Xu & Xinzheng Lu & Hong Guan & Bo Han & Aizhu Ren, 2014. "Seismic damage simulation in urban areas based on a high-fidelity structural model and a physics engine," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 1679-1693, April.
    2. Zhen Xu & Xinzheng Lu & Hong Guan & Yuan Tian & Aizhu Ren, 2016. "Simulation of earthquake-induced hazards of falling exterior non-structural components and its application to emergency shelter design," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 935-950, January.
    3. Jomari Peterson & Mitchell Small, 2012. "Methodology for benefit–cost analysis of seismic codes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 1039-1053, September.
    4. Zhen Xu & Xinzheng Lu & Hong Guan & Yuan Tian & Aizhu Ren, 2016. "Simulation of earthquake-induced hazards of falling exterior non-structural components and its application to emergency shelter design," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 935-950, January.
    5. Jonathan Remo & Nicholas Pinter, 2012. "Hazus-MH earthquake modeling in the central USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 1055-1081, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xinzheng Lu & Donglian Gu & Zhen Xu & Chen Xiong & Yuan Tian, 2020. "CIM-Powered Multi-Hazard Simulation Framework Covering both Individual Buildings and Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-28, June.

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