IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v82y2016i3d10.1007_s11069-016-2255-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact assessment of climate change on future soil erosion and SOC loss

Author

Listed:
  • Arun Mondal

    (Indian Institute of Technology)

  • Deepak Khare

    (Indian Institute of Technology)

  • Sananda Kundu

    (Indian Institute of Technology)

Abstract

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is an important component of soil fertility and agricultural production that also controls the atmospheric CO2 which affects the global carbon cycle. Soil erosion is a major hazard which is directly affected by the rainfall change caused by the climate change. SOC is depleted through soil erosion affected by a change in the rainfall pattern. This study aims at quantifying the impact of climate change on future soil erosion and SOC with respect to the different controlling parameters (slope, soil and landuse) of soil erosion. The study area is a part of the Narmada river basin in India. Future rainfall is estimated by least square support vector machine method using Hadley Centre coupled model, version 3 data of A2 scenario. Revised universal soil loss equation has been used to estimate the soil erosion spatially, and field data collection is done to estimate SOC. Regression–kriging (RK) method is used for spatial interpolation of SOC on the top surface considering ancillary information of the land. Results show that sediment load has changed by −5.33, 17.97 and 58.37 % in the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s, respectively, from current erosion rate. Soil erosion and SOC loss rate are higher in a high degree of slope (>20), while SOC stock is low here (5.77 gm/kg). Again, SOC stock (1.27 gm/kg) is high in the clay soil, but soil erosion and SOC loss are less, while sandy loam indicates the opposite. Agricultural land and fallow lands have higher rate of soil erosion and SOC loss, while stock SOC is 12.24 and 9.65 gm/kg, respectively. Results show that soil erosion and SOC loss will be increased in the future and steeper slopes, sandy soil and fallow lands are more vulnerable to the loss.

Suggested Citation

  • Arun Mondal & Deepak Khare & Sananda Kundu, 2016. "Impact assessment of climate change on future soil erosion and SOC loss," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1515-1539, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:82:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2255-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2255-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-016-2255-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-016-2255-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amit Kumar & Mamta Devi & Benidhar Deshmukh, 2014. "Integrated Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Based RUSLE Modelling for Estimation of Soil Loss in Western Himalaya, India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 3307-3317, August.
    2. Jinghu Pan & Yan Wen, 2014. "Estimation of soil erosion using RUSLE in Caijiamiao watershed, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 2187-2205, April.
    3. Okan Fistikoglu & Nilgun Harmancioglu, 2002. "Integration of GIS with USLE in Assessment of Soil Erosion," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(6), pages 447-467, December.
    4. J. Onyando & P. Kisoyan & M. Chemelil, 2005. "Estimation of Potential Soil Erosion for River Perkerra Catchment in Kenya," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(2), pages 133-143, April.
    5. Liguang Jiang & Zhijun Yao & Zhaofei Liu & Shanshan Wu & Rui Wang & Lei Wang, 2015. "Estimation of soil erosion in some sections of Lower Jinsha River based on RUSLE," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(3), pages 1831-1847, April.
    6. Krishna Bhandari & Jagannath Aryal & Rotchanatch Darnsawasdi, 2015. "A geospatial approach to assessing soil erosion in a watershed by integrating socio-economic determinants and the RUSLE model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 321-342, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chandra Setyawan & Chin-Yu Lee & Miky Prawitasari, 2019. "Investigating spatial contribution of land use types and land slope classes on soil erosion distribution under tropical environment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(2), pages 697-718, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sumedh R. Kashiwar & Manik Chandra Kundu & Usha R. Dongarwar, 2022. "Soil erosion estimation of Bhandara region of Maharashtra, India, by integrated use of RUSLE, remote sensing, and GIS," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 937-959, January.
    2. Elias Rodrigues Cunha & Vitor Matheus Bacani & Elói Panachuki, 2017. "Modeling soil erosion using RUSLE and GIS in a watershed occupied by rural settlement in the Brazilian Cerrado," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(2), pages 851-868, January.
    3. Shifa Chen & Xuan Zha, 2016. "Evaluation of soil erosion vulnerability in the Zhuxi watershed, Fujian Province, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1589-1607, July.
    4. Ashish Pandey & V. Chowdary & B. Mal, 2007. "Identification of critical erosion prone areas in the small agricultural watershed using USLE, GIS and remote sensing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(4), pages 729-746, April.
    5. Nektarios N. Kourgialas & Georgios C. Koubouris & George P. Karatzas & Ioannis Metzidakis, 2016. "Assessing water erosion in Mediterranean tree crops using GIS techniques and field measurements: the effect of climate change," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(1), pages 65-81, October.
    6. P. Dabral & Neelakshi Baithuri & Ashish Pandey, 2008. "Soil Erosion Assessment in a Hilly Catchment of North Eastern India Using USLE, GIS and Remote Sensing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(12), pages 1783-1798, December.
    7. Morteza Akbari & Ehsan Neamatollahi & Hadi Memarian & Mohammad Alizadeh Noughani, 2023. "Assessing impacts of floods disaster on soil erosion risk based on the RUSLE-GloSEM approach in western Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(2), pages 1689-1710, June.
    8. V. Chowdary & D. Chakraborthy & A. Jeyaram & Y. Murthy & J. Sharma & V. Dadhwal, 2013. "Multi-Criteria Decision Making Approach for Watershed Prioritization Using Analytic Hierarchy Process Technique and GIS," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3555-3571, August.
    9. Sreenivasulu Vemu & Udaya Pinnamaneni, 2011. "Estimation of spatial patterns of soil erosion using remote sensing and GIS: a case study of Indravati catchment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(3), pages 1299-1315, December.
    10. Ranghu Wang & Shuwen Zhang & Jiuchun Yang & Luoman Pu & Chaobin Yang & Lingxue Yu & Liping Chang & Kun Bu, 2016. "Integrated Use of GCM, RS, and GIS for the Assessment of Hillslope and Gully Erosion in the Mushi River Sub-Catchment, Northeast China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-20, March.
    11. I. Gaubi & A. Chaabani & A. Ben Mammou & M. H. Hamza, 2017. "A GIS-based soil erosion prediction using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) (Lebna watershed, Cap Bon, Tunisia)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 219-239, March.
    12. Liangang Chen & Xin Qian & Yong Shi, 2011. "Critical Area Identification of Potential Soil Loss in a Typical Watershed of the Three Gorges Reservoir Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3445-3463, October.
    13. H. Vijith & L. W. Seling & D. Dodge-Wan, 2018. "Estimation of soil loss and identification of erosion risk zones in a forested region in Sarawak, Malaysia, Northern Borneo," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 1365-1384, June.
    14. Elsayed A. Abdelsamie & Mostafa A. Abdellatif & Farag O. Hassan & Ahmed A. El Baroudy & Elsayed Said Mohamed & Dmitry E. Kucher & Mohamed S. Shokr, 2022. "Integration of RUSLE Model, Remote Sensing and GIS Techniques for Assessing Soil Erosion Hazards in Arid Zones," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, December.
    15. Liguang Jiang & Zhijun Yao & Zhaofei Liu & Shanshan Wu & Rui Wang & Lei Wang, 2015. "Estimation of soil erosion in some sections of Lower Jinsha River based on RUSLE," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(3), pages 1831-1847, April.
    16. Rabin Bhattarai & Dushmata Dutta, 2007. "Estimation of Soil Erosion and Sediment Yield Using GIS at Catchment Scale," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(10), pages 1635-1647, October.
    17. Demetris Zarris & Marianna Vlastara & Dionysia Panagoulia, 2011. "Sediment Delivery Assessment for a Transboundary Mediterranean Catchment: The Example of Nestos River Catchment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(14), pages 3785-3803, November.
    18. Manoj Jain & Debjyoti Das, 2010. "Estimation of Sediment Yield and Areas of Soil Erosion and Deposition for Watershed Prioritization using GIS and Remote Sensing," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 2091-2112, August.
    19. Leticia Merchán & Antonio Miguel Martínez-Graña & Pilar Alonso Rojo & Marco Criado, 2023. "Water Erosion Risk Analysis in the Arribes del Duero Natural Park (Spain) Using RUSLE and GIS Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-15, January.
    20. Akbar Norouzi-Shokrlu & Mehdi Pajouhesh & Khodayar Abdollahi, 2020. "Relating Sediment Yield Estimations to the Wet Front Term Using Rainfall Simulator Field Experiments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(13), pages 4181-4196, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:82:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2255-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.