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Application of an extreme winter storm scenario to identify vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the Sierra Nevada mountains, USA

Author

Listed:
  • Christine M. Albano

    (University of California, Davis
    Conservation Science Partners)

  • Michael D. Dettinger

    (US Geological Survey and Scripps Institution of Oceanography)

  • Maureen I. McCarthy

    (University of Nevada, Reno)

  • Kevin D. Schaller

    (Resiliency Partners)

  • Toby L. Welborn

    (US Geological Survey)

  • Dale A. Cox

    (US Geological Survey)

Abstract

In the Sierra Nevada mountains (USA), and geographically similar areas across the globe where human development is expanding, extreme winter storm and flood risks are expected to increase with changing climate, heightening the need for communities to assess risks and better prepare for such events. In this case study, we demonstrate a novel approach to examining extreme winter storm and flood risks. We incorporated high-resolution atmospheric–hydrologic modeling of the ARkStorm extreme winter storm scenario with multiple modes of engagement with practitioners, including a series of facilitated discussions and a tabletop emergency management exercise, to develop a regional assessment of extreme storm vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the greater Lake Tahoe region of Northern Nevada and California, USA. Through this process, practitioners discussed issues of concern across all phases of the emergency management life cycle, including preparation, response, recovery, and mitigation. Interruption of transportation, communications, and interagency coordination were among the most pressing concerns, and specific approaches for addressing these issues were identified, including prepositioning resources, diversifying communications systems, and improving coordination among state, tribal, and public utility practitioners. Science needs included expanding real-time monitoring capabilities to improve the precision of meteorological models and enhance situational awareness, assessing vulnerabilities of critical infrastructure, and conducting cost–benefit analyses to assess opportunities to improve both natural and human-made infrastructure to better withstand extreme storms. Our approach and results can be used to support both land use and emergency planning activities aimed toward increasing community resilience to extreme winter storm hazards in mountainous regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Christine M. Albano & Michael D. Dettinger & Maureen I. McCarthy & Kevin D. Schaller & Toby L. Welborn & Dale A. Cox, 2016. "Application of an extreme winter storm scenario to identify vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the Sierra Nevada mountains, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 879-900, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:80:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-015-2003-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-2003-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tapash Das & Michael Dettinger & Daniel Cayan & Hugo Hidalgo, 2011. "Potential increase in floods in California’s Sierra Nevada under future climate projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 71-94, December.
    2. Xin Miao & David Banister & Yanhong Tang, 2013. "Embedding resilience in emergency resource management to cope with natural hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1389-1404, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mariachiara Piraina & Paolo Trucco, 2022. "Emergency management capabilities of interdependent systems: framework for analysis," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 42(2), pages 149-176, June.
    2. Christine M. Albano & Maureen I. McCarthy & Michael D. Dettinger & Stephanie A. McAfee, 2021. "Techniques for constructing climate scenarios for stress test applications," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-25, February.

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