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Seasonal effects of temperature fluctuations on air quality and respiratory disease: a study in Beijing

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  • Maria Ikram
  • Zhijun Yan
  • Yan Liu
  • Weihua Qu

Abstract

The decrease and increase in temperature between neighboring days will have obvious influence on air quality and public health. Based on generalized additive model, this paper aims to examine the seasonal effects of temperature fluctuations on air quality index (AQI) and respiratory disease (RD) during 2008–2012 in Beijing. The results show that the impact of decrease and increase in temperature on AQI and RD varies in different seasons. A large decrease in temperature results in the increase in AQI and RD only in the cold season. At the same time, compared with cold season, larger increased effects of small increase in temperature are observed on AQI and RD in warm season. For a large increase in temperature, a larger impact on AQI is observed in the warm season compared with cold season, while a larger impact on RD is observed in the cold season contrarily. Furthermore, extremely large decrease in temperature (>7 °C) results in the similar impact on AQI in the warm and cold season. Extremely large increase in temperature (>7 °C) has the similar influence on AQI and RD for both warm and cold season. Compared with small and large increase in temperature, extremely large increase in temperature (>7 °C) results in the largest influence on AQI and RD. Our results suggest that the air quality and public health in Beijing are significantly influenced by decrease and increase in temperature in different seasons. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Maria Ikram & Zhijun Yan & Yan Liu & Weihua Qu, 2015. "Seasonal effects of temperature fluctuations on air quality and respiratory disease: a study in Beijing," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(2), pages 833-853, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:79:y:2015:i:2:p:833-853
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-1879-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yi Zuo & Ying-ling Shi & Yu-zhuo Zhang, 2017. "Research on the Sustainable Development of an Economic-Energy-Environment (3E) System Based on System Dynamics (SD): A Case Study of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-23, September.
    2. Lifeng Wu & Xiaohui Gao & Yanli Xiao & Sifeng Liu & Yingjie Yang, 2017. "Using grey Holt–Winters model to predict the air quality index for cities in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(2), pages 1003-1012, September.
    3. Sun, Jianing & Zhou, Tao & Wang, Di, 2022. "Relationships between urban form and air quality: A reconsideration based on evidence from China’s five urban agglomerations during the COVID-19 pandemic," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    4. Yan Liu & Zhijun Yan & Su Liu & Yuting Wu & Qingmei Gan & Chao Dong, 2017. "The effect of the driving restriction policy on public health in Beijing," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(2), pages 751-762, January.
    5. Maria Ikram & Zhijun Yan & Yan Liu & Dan Wu, 2016. "Assessing the possible impacts of temperature change on air quality and public health in Beijing, 2008–2012," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 153-165, November.

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