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Estimation of the evacuation clearance time based on dam-break simulation of the Huaxi dam in Southwestern China

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  • Cuiyun Cheng
  • Xin Qian
  • Yuchao Zhang
  • Qingeng Wang
  • Jinbao Sheng

Abstract

It is necessary for China to establish a feasible method to verify whether an emergency evacuation plan (EEP) provides timely evacuation under the threat of flooding as a result of dam failure. Based on simulating the inundation area resulting from failure of the Huaxi Dam, this paper puts forward a quantitative approach to assess the effectiveness of an EEP by estimating the evacuation clearance times. Differences between urban and rural areas are considered, and two transportation modes are selected. Total evacuation clearance times in rural and urban areas are 135 and 80 min, respectively. Results show that total evacuation clearance times are longer than the time it takes for the flood wave to reach some communities in the area. The paper also makes some suggestions on how to decrease the total clearance time and thus enhance the effectiveness of the EEP for the Huaxi Dam. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Cuiyun Cheng & Xin Qian & Yuchao Zhang & Qingeng Wang & Jinbao Sheng, 2011. "Estimation of the evacuation clearance time based on dam-break simulation of the Huaxi dam in Southwestern China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 57(2), pages 227-243, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:57:y:2011:i:2:p:227-243
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-010-9608-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pidd, M. & de Silva, F. N. & Eglese, R. W., 1996. "A simulation model for emergency evacuation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 413-419, May.
    2. Stepanov, Alexander & Smith, James MacGregor, 2009. "Multi-objective evacuation routing in transportation networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(2), pages 435-446, October.
    3. Armanda Rodrigues & Maria Santos & A. Santos & Fernanda Rocha, 2002. "Dam-Break Flood Emergency Management System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(6), pages 489-503, December.
    4. F N de Silva & R W Eglese, 2000. "Integrating simulation modelling and GIS: spatial decision support systems for evacuation planning," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(4), pages 423-430, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Praveen Maghelal & Xiangyu Li & Walter Gillis Peacock, 2017. "Highway congestion during evacuation: examining the household’s choice of number of vehicles to evacuate," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(3), pages 1399-1411, July.
    2. Shobeir Karami & Ezatollah Karami, 2020. "Sustainability assessment of dams," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 2919-2940, April.
    3. Wei Zhang & Jianzhong Zhou & Yi Liu & Xiao Chen & Chao Wang, 2016. "Emergency evacuation planning against dike-break flood: a GIS-based DSS for flood detention basin of Jingjiang in central China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1283-1301, March.
    4. Wei Zhang & Jianzhong Zhou & Yi Liu & Xiao Chen & Chao Wang, 2016. "Emergency evacuation planning against dike-break flood: a GIS-based DSS for flood detention basin of Jingjiang in central China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1283-1301, March.

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