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Storm surge modelling for the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

Author

Listed:
  • S. Dube
  • Indu Jain
  • A. Rao
  • T. Murty

Abstract

Most of the countries around the North Indian Ocean are threatened by storm surges associated with severe tropical cyclones. The destruction due to the storm surge flooding is a serious concern along the coastal regions of India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Oman. Storm surges cause heavy loss of lives and property damage to the coastal structures and losses of agriculture which lead to annual economic losses in these countries. About 300,000 lives were lost in one of the most severe cyclones that hit Bangladesh (then East Pakistan) in November 1970. The Andhra Cyclone devastated part of the eastern coast of India, killing about 10,000 persons in November 1977. More recently, the Chittagong cyclone of April 1991 killed 140,000 people in Bangladesh, and the Orissa coast of India was struck by a severe cyclonic storm in October 1999, killing more than 15,000 people besides enormous loss to the property in the region. These and most of the world’s greatest natural disasters associated with the tropical cyclones have been directly attributed to storm surges. The main objective of this article is to highlight the recent developments in storm surge prediction in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Suggested Citation

  • S. Dube & Indu Jain & A. Rao & T. Murty, 2009. "Storm surge modelling for the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 51(1), pages 3-27, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:51:y:2009:i:1:p:3-27
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-009-9397-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Prakash Sinha & Indu Jain & Neetu Bhardwaj & Ambarukhana Rao & Shishir Dube, 2008. "Numerical modeling of tide-surge interaction along Orissa coast of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 45(3), pages 413-427, June.
    2. Dube, S.K. & Sinha, P.C. & Roy, G.D., 1986. "The effect of a continuously deforming coastline on the numerical simulation of storm surges in Bangladesh," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 41-56.
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    1. F. G. Schmitt & A. Crapoulet & A. Hequette & Y. Huang, 2018. "Nonlinear dynamics of the sea level time series in the eastern English Channel," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(1), pages 267-285, March.
    2. A. D. Rao & Puja Upadhaya & Smita Pandey & Jismy Poulose, 2020. "Simulation of extreme water levels in response to tropical cyclones along the Indian coast: a climate change perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 151-172, January.
    3. Md Aboul Fazal Younus, 2017. "An assessment of vulnerability and adaptation to cyclones through impact assessment guidelines: a bottom-up case study from Bangladesh coast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(3), pages 1437-1459, December.
    4. N. Sudha Rani & A. Satyanarayana & Prasad Bhaskaran, 2015. "Coastal vulnerability assessment studies over India: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(1), pages 405-428, May.
    5. Shuxian Liu & Yang Liu & Zhigang Chu & Kun Yang & Guanlan Wang & Lisheng Zhang & Yuanda Zhang, 2023. "Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Disaster Loss Using Machine Learning Algorithms with an eXplainable Artificial Intelligence Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-17, August.
    6. Min Zhang & Yu Huang & Yangjuan Bao, 2016. "The mechanism of shallow submarine landslides triggered by storm surge," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1373-1383, March.
    7. Edward Helderop & Tony H. Grubesic, 2022. "Hurricane storm surge: toward a normalized damage index for coastal regions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1179-1197, January.
    8. Raghu Nadimpalli & Krishna K. Osuri & Sujata Pattanayak & U. C. Mohanty & M. M. Nageswararao & S. Kiran Prasad, 2016. "Real-time prediction of movement, intensity and storm surge of very severe cyclonic storm Hudhud over Bay of Bengal using high-resolution dynamical model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1771-1795, April.
    9. Jhantu Dey & Sayani Mazumder, 2023. "Development of an integrated coastal vulnerability index and its application to the low-lying Mandarmani–Dadanpatrabar coastal sector, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3243-3273, April.
    10. K. K. Basheer Ahammed & Arvind Chandra Pandey & Bikash Ranjan Parida & Wasim & Chandra Shekhar Dwivedi, 2023. "Impact Assessment of Tropical Cyclones Amphan and Nisarga in 2020 in the Northern Indian Ocean," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, February.
    11. B. Sindhu & A. Unnikrishnan, 2012. "Return period estimates of extreme sea level along the east coast of India from numerical simulations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(3), pages 1007-1028, April.
    12. Yashvant Das, 2018. "Parametric modeling of tropical cyclone wind fields in India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(2), pages 1049-1084, September.
    13. S. Niggol Seo, 2017. "Measuring Policy Benefits Of The Cyclone Shelter Program In The North Indian Ocean: Protection From Intense Winds Or High Storm Surges?," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 1-18, November.
    14. Usha Natesan & P. Rajalakshmi & M. Ramana Murthy & Vincent Ferrer, 2013. "Estimation of wave heights during cyclonic conditions using wave propagation model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1751-1766, December.
    15. Edris Alam & Dale Dominey-Howes, 2016. "A catalogue of earthquakes between 810BC and 2012 for the Bay of Bengal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 2031-2102, April.
    16. Sudong Xu & Wenrui Huang & Guiping Zhang & Feng Gao & Xiaomin Li, 2014. "Integrating Monte Carlo and hydrodynamic models for estimating extreme water levels by storm surge in Colombo, Sri Lanka," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 703-721, March.
    17. Min Zhang & Yu Huang & Yangjuan Bao, 2016. "The mechanism of shallow submarine landslides triggered by storm surge," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1373-1383, March.
    18. Xue Jin & Xiaoxia Shi & Jintian Gao & Tongbin Xu & Kedong Yin, 2018. "Evaluation of Loss Due to Storm Surge Disasters in China Based on Econometric Model Groups," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-19, March.
    19. S. V. Samiksha & A. Tharani & V. Sanil Kumar & Charls Antony, 2023. "Performance of ERA5 winds on computed storm surge and wave–current interaction using a coupled model during Ockhi cyclone," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 1759-1774, March.
    20. Michela Biasutti & Adam Sobel & Suzana Camargo & Timothy Creyts, 2012. "Projected changes in the physical climate of the Gulf Coast and Caribbean," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(3), pages 819-845, June.
    21. Pavel Tkalich & P. Vethamony & M. Babu & Paola Malanotte-Rizzoli, 2013. "Storm surges in the Singapore Strait due to winds in the South China Sea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(3), pages 1345-1362, April.

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