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Spatial effects of tourism development on economic resilience: an empirical study of Wenchuan earthquake based on dynamic spatial Durbin model

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  • Jun Zhang

    (Zhejiang Gongshang University)

Abstract

This study highlights the importance of the effects of spatial tourism. Using panel data of 135 Wenchuan earthquake-affected counties from 2008 to 2018, this study employs the dynamic spatial Durbin model to examine the spatial effects of tourism development on post-disaster economic resilience and compares the differences in the tourism-growth nexus between severe disaster-affected counties and general disaster-affected counties. The empirical results show that tourism development contributes to economic resilience for general disaster-affected counties, which supports the tourism-led growth hypothesis, whereas there is an inverted U-shaped relationship for severely disaster-affected counties. Furthermore, the spatial spillover effects of tourism are insignificant. Plausible explanations for these results are discussed, and policy suggestions are provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Zhang, 2023. "Spatial effects of tourism development on economic resilience: an empirical study of Wenchuan earthquake based on dynamic spatial Durbin model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 309-329, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:115:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05556-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05556-9
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